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Climate collapse

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Dutch Josh 2 View Drop Down
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Joined: 21 Aug 2024
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 24 Mar 2025 at 1:15pm
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/accelerating-temperature-rise.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/accelerating-temperature-rise.html ;
The Northern Hemisphere temperature was 12.68°C on March 18, 2025, a record daily high and 1.57°C higher than 1979-2000.
Very high temperature anomalies are forecast over the Arctic Ocean for November 2025.
What makes such high temperatures possible is a combination of mechanisms speeding up the temperature rise.

One such mechanisms is loss of sea ice. Loss of Arctic sea ice volume is illustrated by the image on the right. 

An additional mechanism is sunspots that are expected to reach their maximum in this cycle in July 2025, while the number of sunspots is also higher than predicted.  

Furthermore, there are numerous feedbacks that can interact and amplify each other. 

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.250.html#bot  or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.250.html#bot ;
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,329,063 KM2 as at 23-Mar-2025

Although sea ice area is increasing, the 365 day trailing average is still decreasing as sea ice area is below 2024. Indeed, the average is now below (just) the longterm linear trend for the first time since July 2021, though still 0.19 million km2 above the record low average in February 2017.

DJ, Global energy consumption kept growing in 2024-a.o. because of aircos...Coal consumption also increased...

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/burgum-orders-nearly-20-million-acres-alaska-opened-oil-gas-development  or https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/burgum-orders-nearly-20-million-acres-alaska-opened-oil-gas-development 

"insanity rules"...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Apr 2025 at 2:11am
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/04/noaanws-spc-another-high-risk-severe.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/04/noaanws-spc-another-high-risk-severe.html ;

While we sometimes can go a year or longer without seeing a `High Risk' forecast from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), today they've issued their second in just over 2 weeks (see previous).  Although the High Risk region is relatively small, the moderate and enhanced risk areas for today are substantial.  

https://nltimes.nl/2025/04/03/army-drill-sparks-massive-wildfire-dutch-nature-reserve-330-firefighters-respond or https://nltimes.nl/2025/04/03/army-drill-sparks-massive-wildfire-dutch-nature-reserve-330-firefighters-respond ;

A massive wildfire that was burning out of control in the east of the Netherlands was caused by an Army drill, the Dutch military and the municipality of Ede said on Thursday. Some 330 firefighters were struggling to get the wildfire under control, and an Air Force Chinook helicopter was brought in to drop water on the fire.

DJ, Dry, windy...

https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/04/endangerment-finding-in-danger.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/04/endangerment-finding-in-danger.html ;
In the 2009 Endangerment Finding, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) confirmed that the current and projected concentrations of six key well-mixed greenhouse gases in the atmosphere threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations.

Recently, President-elect Trump picked Lee Zeldin to lead the EPA and a Republican-controlled Senate subsequently confirmed Zeldin's appointment. More recently, in an EPA news release, Zeldin said that President Trump’s Executive Order gave the EPA Administrator a deadline to submit recommendations on the legality and continuing applicability of the 2009 Endangerment Finding. Having submitted these recommendations, the EPA can now announce its intent to reconsider the 2009 Endangerment Finding.

DJ, Greek islands flooded by crazy amount of rain...tornadoes/extreme storms, mega-drought-famines...They are all the outcome of a global climate crisis ignored because a rich elite wants to get more rich via wars...

So pandemics ? Do not test ! Climate collapse ? do not measure ! 

Humans are suicidal...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 2 hours 5 minutes ago at 10:02am
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/04/trend-warns-about-further-acceleration-of-the-temperature-rise.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/04/trend-warns-about-further-acceleration-of-the-temperature-rise.html ;

The above image shows daily temperature data from end 2022 through April 8, 2025, with two trends added, a black linear trend and a red cubic (non-linear) trend that reflects stronger feedbacks and that follows ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) conditions more closely.

The shading added in the above image reflects the presence of El Niño conditions (pink shading) that push up temperatures, La Niña conditions (blue shading) that suppress temperatures, or neutral conditions (gray shading). 

Such short-term variables are smoothed out in the black linear trend that shows a steady rise of 0.5°C over 3½ years (from 2023 to half 2026), a much steeper rise than the 1.1°C rise over 81 years (from 1941 to 2022) of a linear trend in an earlier image.
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A new El Niño may emerge soon and the red trend warns that the temperature could rise strongly in the course of 2026, due to feedbacks and further mechanisms such as a El Niño and loss of sea ice.

High ocean temperatures result in low Arctic sea ice volume, as illustrated by the image on the right and as discussed in this earlier post.

As the likeliness of a huge and accelerating temperature rise, the severity of its impact, and the ubiquity and the imminence with which it will strike all become more manifest—the more sobering it is to realize that a mere 3°C rise may suffice to cause human extinction.

DJ, This is very depressing....https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.300.html#bot or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.300.html#bot ; NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE AREA (5-day trailing average):  12,384,989 KM2 as at 09-Apr-2025

Although there was a 10k sea ice area loss on this day hopefully signifying the end of the freezing season (at a ridiculously late date), this is entirely down to losses in the peripheral Seas. Sea ice area in the High Arctic continues to increase.

And the sea ice area losses in the Peripheral Seas are mostly down to losses in the Okhotsk and St Lawrence Regions which are somewhat separate.

and https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.5100.html#bot or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.5100.html#bot Antarctica;
Projections. (Table NSIDC Antarctic-Area-1)
Average remaining freeze (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in Sept 2025 of 14.09 million km2, 0.71 million km2 above the 2023 record low maximum of 13.37 million km2, and would be 3rd lowest in the 47 year satellite record

DJ, Increase heat=increase of weather extremes...
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