A new pandemic

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   UK;Cat in the Hat    reposted
Shaun Lintern
@ShaunLintern
·
2h
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23 hr wait in Yeovil A&E...at York Hospitals patients already seen and needing a bed are waiting over 48hrs to get on the ward.
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Outbreak Updates
@outbreakupdates
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50m
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NORWAY - H5N5 BIRD FLU 

1st time that bird flu of the subtype H5N5 has been detected in lynx.

The autopsy showed that the lynx was in good condition and had had an acute course of the disease. 

Further examinations showed that the virus was only present in the brain.
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https://independentsage.substack.com/p/just-the-flu-hampers-our-response or https://independentsage.substack.com/p/just-the-flu-hampers-our-response ;
Prof Steve Griffin on why "just a flu" is such a dangerous phrase

The phrase “just the flu” has enraged me since COVID began as it pays neither SARS-CoV2, nor influenza virus, the respect they deserve.
This phrase, clearly aimed at normalising pandemic harms, effectively benchmarks flu, which causes 1000s of UK deaths annually, as “normal”. This is despite available vaccines, drugs, and hard-earned population immunity against the flu virus. Sadly, familiarity breeds contempt, or in this case, complacency.

The UK “living with” COVID response relies entirely on this premise of flu as a “normal” illness, crowbarring a COVID peg into an influenza-shaped hole. The result: an overstretched NHS enduring additional health burden with little extra resource.
SARS-CoV2 has made “winter pressures” perennial (Figure 1). As a result, more people are dying, hundreds of thousands more people are unable to work, and support for Long Covid patients is dwindling. This “new normal” is NOT befitting of a country with (historically) advanced health and social care.

DJ, indie_SAGE did do a good job in informing people. We may welcome them back...

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Dutch Josh 2 Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Offline Points: 958	Post Options Post Reply Quote Dutch Josh 2 Report Post Thanks(0) Quote Reply Posted: 30 Dec 2024 at 11:56am
	UK; Cat in the Hat reposted Shaun Lintern @ShaunLintern · 2h < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> 23 hr wait in Yeovil A&E...at York Hospitals patients already seen and needing a bed are waiting over 48hrs to get on the ward. - Outbreak Updates @outbreakupdates · 50m < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> NORWAY - H5N5 BIRD FLU 1st time that bird flu of the subtype H5N5 has been detected in lynx. The autopsy showed that the lynx was in good condition and had had an acute course of the disease. Further examinations showed that the virus was only present in the brain. - https://independentsage.substack.com/p/just-the-flu-hampers-our-response or https://independentsage.substack.com/p/just-the-flu-hampers-our-response ; Prof Steve Griffin on why "just a flu" is such a dangerous phrase The phrase “just the flu” has enraged me since COVID began as it pays neither SARS-CoV2, nor influenza virus, the respect they deserve. This phrase, clearly aimed at normalising pandemic harms, effectively benchmarks flu, which causes 1000s of UK deaths annually, as “normal”. This is despite available vaccines, drugs, and hard-earned population immunity against the flu virus. Sadly, familiarity breeds contempt, or in this case, complacency. The UK “living with” COVID response relies entirely on this premise of flu as a “normal” illness, crowbarring a COVID peg into an influenza-shaped hole. The result: an overstretched NHS enduring additional health burden with little extra resource. SARS-CoV2 has made “winter pressures” perennial (Figure 1). As a result, more people are dying, hundreds of thousands more people are unable to work, and support for Long Covid patients is dwindling. This “new normal” is NOT befitting of a country with (historically) advanced health and social care. DJ, indie_SAGE did do a good job in informing people. We may welcome them back...

Dutch Josh 2 Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Offline Points: 958	Post Options Post Reply Quote Dutch Josh 2 Report Post Thanks(0) Quote Reply Posted: 31 Dec 2024 at 3:15am
	CoronaHeadsUp reposted Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA @michael_hoerger < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> PMC COVID-19 Dashboard, Dec 30, 2024 (U.S.) 1 in 50 people actively infectious 1 in 3 chance of an exposure in a gathering of 20 on NYE 6.7 million new infections per week >300,000 resulting #LongCOVID conditions/week Info for new readers: For those unfamiliar with the PMC model, find full weekly reports for the past 1.5 years at http://pmc19.com/data The models combine data from IHME, Biobot, and CDC to use wastewater to estimate case levels (r = .93 to .96) and forecast levels the next month based on typical levels for that date and recent patterns of changes in transmission the past 4 weeks. Our work has been cited in top scientific journals and media outlets, which are fully sourced in a detailed technical appendix at https://pmc19.com/data/PMC_COVID_Forecast_Nov25_2024_technical_appendix.pdf… Examples include JAMA Onc, JAMA-NO, BMC Public Health, Time, People, TODAY, the Washington Post, the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Salon, Forbes, the New Republic, Fox, CBS, and NBC. See pgs 11-13 at the above link. We will have a pre-print out in the next month documenting very compelling evidence for the validity of using wastewater to estimate case rates. Forecasting is challenging in the context of the current viral evolution, but the real-time estimates of cases are impressively accurate to the best we can evaluate it. - Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD @PeterHotez · 8h < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> New from ⁦ @IHME_UW ⁩ GBD 2021. Covid mortality rates. No surprises: Well-vaccinated Northern European nations, Canada, Northern U.S. had lowest mortality; less vaccinated Southern U.S. fared worse; poorly vaccinated regions Africa, Russia the worst https://healthdata.org/research-analysis/diseases-injuries-risks/factsheets/2021-covid-19-level-3-disease DJ, Some western-most US-"experts" claim China is lying on its statistics. However China/Asia has a tradition of masking...decent sick-pay often, the idea you are part of society...above "freedom" to not give a damn... So yes lots of countries will do better then "neo-liberal freedom" countries destroying climate, health...Outlook for 2025 is bad. Learning the hard way...

Dutch Josh 2 Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Offline Points: 958	Post Options Post Reply Quote Dutch Josh 2 Report Post Thanks(0) Quote Reply Posted: 31 Dec 2024 at 9:24am
	https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/824572-discussion-chinese-academy-of-sciences-cas-in-wuhan-has-been-working-with-bats-and-coronavirus-for-many-years-dna-manipulations-cloning?view=stream or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/824572-discussion-chinese-academy-of-sciences-cas-in-wuhan-has-been-working-with-bats-and-coronavirus-for-many-years-dna-manipulations-cloning?view=stream (latest); Chinese view; AFP: Yesterday, the World Health Organization (WHO) called on China to share COVID-19 data and provide access to help understand the origins of the virus. They called it a moral and scientific imperative. Does the Foreign Ministry have any response to this call from WHO? Mao Ning: Since the outbreak of COVID-19 five years ago, China has shared information on the outbreak and genome sequence of the virus with WHO and the international community at the earliest time possible, and has shared with others our control and clinical experience without reservation, making great contribution to the global effort of fighting against COVID-19. On the origins-tracing of COVID-19, China follows the spirit of science, openness, and transparency, actively supports and participates in global science-based origins-tracing, and firmly opposes any form of political manipulation. China is the only country that has invited more than once WHO expert groups to come into the country to conduct joint origins study. China is also the only country that has organized multiple events for its experts to share progress on origins-tracing with WHO. On the origins-tracing of COVID-19, China has shared more data and research findings and contributed more to worldwide COVID-19 origins study than any other country. WHO experts said on multiple occasions that the Chinese side granted full access to all sites, personnel and material they requested when conducting study in China, and that the level of openness and transparency in China is what they hadn’t expected. The international science community is now providing increasing clues that point possible COVID origins to various parts of the world, and a global perspective is needed to carry out origins-tracing work in multiple countries and regions. China stands ready to work with all parties to continue advancing global science-based origins-tracing study and make active contribution to better guard against infectious diseases in the future. DJ, Lots of global findings point to early CoViD cases https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/sars-cov-2-in-angola-from-23rd-september-2019/ or https://www.coronaheadsup.com/science/origins/sars-cov-2-in-angola-from-23rd-september-2019/ So was Wuhan military games-october 2019 a spread event ? US/west confrontationism; sharon sanders replied Today, 10:49 AM No. Actually the spokesperson is lying. The Wuhan market was cleaned up immediately with no outside observers. Only YEARS later did the China government disclose some information about the outbreak circumstances. They are trying to re-write history. Probability and statistics do not support their allegations that SARS-Cov-2 developed and broke out in "various parts of the world". Ridiculous. This is what you get with a dictatorship operating with a closed press. DJ...It did take decades to get a basic view on the Spanish Flu. The US is seeking conflicts all over the world by all means. YES-A lot of pandemics did start -at least in part-in China. (China-Laos rain forest part of the risk). Global border controls failed to contain SARS-2. The US regime is a global problem. The way the US is twisting stories to fit their own agenda an insult to science and humanity... Brian Berletic @BrianJBerletic < aria-label="Grok s" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> NYT Claims China Hacked US Treasury It is difficult, sometimes impossible to attribute cyber attacks because professional hackers misdirect attribution as a matter of procedure; The US has already been exposed as having left behind digital fingerprints to misdirect attribution toward adversaries like Russia and China - false flag cyberattacks; Who benefits from this? China by painting a target on itself or the US desperate to justify its escalation vs. China? My 2018 article on the topic including links to Western sources admitting this: https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2018/02/us-uk-accuse-russia-of-notpetya.html?m=1 - Brian Berletic @BrianJBerletic < aria-label="Grok s" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> While the US lectures the rest of the world about fabricated human rights violations, its own system regularly tortures and murders citizens and prisoners, often on camera. The US has the largest prison population on Earth. It has more prisoners than China despite China having a 4-5x larger population. Despite obviously being a systemic problem, only those blatantly caught are "fired" or tried/jailed, while those in local and national government who created this system continue expanding it both at home and abroad... And while the Western media (like this BBC article) reports on this abuse, it portrays it as isolated from the collective West's leadership rather than a symptom of it. https://bbc.com/news/articles/c2ldwe1ypywo.amp DJ, healthcare in most developed countries is public and not for profits...western neo-liberalism is that rotten and corrupt it will sell anything...

Dutch Josh 2 Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Offline Points: 958	Post Options Post Reply Quote Dutch Josh 2 Report Post Thanks(0) Quote Reply Posted: 8 hours 37 minutes ago at 2:45am
	https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/12/nejm-critical-illness-in-adolescent.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/12/nejm-critical-illness-in-adolescent.html ; Today, the NEJM has published a correspondence from the team of doctors and public health investigators into this case which provides far more detail than we've seen previously. We learn that the patient was a 13 year-old girl, and that after several weeks of intensive care she was able to come off ECMO on November 22nd, was extubated on November 28th. Details on her current condition, and/or any sequelae are not provided. Of considerable interest, todays report discusses the detection of several significant amino acid substitutions, which are believed to increase mammalian adaptations. Just over a month ago, in Referral: MedCram On Avian Flu Mutations That Favor Human Transmission, we looked at early reports of ambiguous mutations at several key sites (Q226 and E190 (H3 numbering)) in the HA gene. These mutations have previously been linked to increased binding to `mammalian' α2-6–linked sialic acid receptor cells, which are commonly found in the human upper airway. Today's report adds that the PB2-E627K mutation was also detected (52% allele frequency). This mutation is known to increase IAV replication in mammalian cells, and is considered a particularly important finding. While we've only seen a small number (≈ 20) of human infections with this D1.1 genotype, at least two have proved serious enough to require hospitalization. Both shared at least one HA mutation; E186E/D (aka E190E/D H3 numbering). Curiously, we've seen more than twice as many human infections with the bovine B3.13 genotype, and so far, none have been severe. Both genotypes continue to evolve and adapt, however. DJ, Again; -H5N1 is a GLOBAL problem in mammals -more or less- in all continents (Australia still no H5N1 cases in birds ??? One imported human case from India) -CoViD is again going for another wave-slowly decreasing human group protection against lots of other diseases...and CoViD itself may become worse even more... -A new sort of disease-for humans-may find ways to become very widespread and very fast Helen Branswell reposted Gideon Gil @GideonGil · 19h < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> As a new year brings new public health leadership, it’s worth rereading this @HelenBranswell piece, which warns that bird flu risk to the general public, while unpredictable, can transition from low to high in “dizzyingly brief” time. https://statnews.com/2024/10/16/bird-flu-pandemic-overall-risk-low-continued-h5n1-outbreak-dairy-cattle-worrisome/… via @statnews DJ, So ALSO CoViD and H5N1 are high risk... We are NOT doing enough to contain spread. The main steps however can be made by YOU !!! If ill-try to limit spread...masks work (nothing is 100% perfect-but it is the combination of steps that matter !) Vaccines limit disease...may give complications in very limited numbers...however may also limit chronic healthissues.