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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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Posted: 19 Nov 2024 at 7:07am |
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-024-01564-5 or https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-024-01564-5 ;
Sustained greening of the Antarctic Peninsula observed from satellitesThe Antarctic Peninsula has experienced considerable anthropogenic warming in recent decades. While cryospheric responses are well defined, the responses of moss-dominated terrestrial ecosystems have not been quantified. Analysis of Landsat archives (1986–2021) using a Google Earth Engine cloud-processing workflow suggest widespread greening across the Antarctic Peninsula. The area of likely vegetation cover increased from 0.863 km2 in 1986 to 11.947 km2 in 2021, with an accelerated rate of change in recent years (2016–2021: 0.424 km2 yr−1) relative to the study period (1986–2021: 0.317 km2 yr−1). This trend echoes a wider pattern of greening in cold-climate ecosystems in response to recent warming, suggesting future widespread changes in the Antarctic Peninsula’s terrestrial ecosystems and their long-term functioning. DJ, Arctic/Antarctic (sea)ice no longer expected to be lowest ever this season. -hope this subject does not redirect to a twitter-link- "Climate" did get a wrong link...
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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Flooding in Greece, Thailand (etc), strong storms are "a new normal"...DJ-More fitting with the 2,76C above pre-industrial then the "political lie of keeping it under 1,5C"...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZGGaLgB2io or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZGGaLgB2io Just Have A Think;
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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DJ, Double/twin storms this weekend for NL..."a new normal"...
https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8241210/we-gaan-het-vaker-horen-hittekracht or https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/8241210/we-gaan-het-vaker-horen-hittekracht ; We're going to hear it more often: heat powerNIJMEGEN - TNO, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) and the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam have developed a new warning system for heat: the heat force. This new index not only looks at temperature, but also at wind, radiant heat and humidity. It is the combination of these factors that determine whether it is potentially dangerous to perform a certain effort. But it is not new, they know in Nijmegen. Actually, this system is already being used, for example at the Nijmegen Four Days Marches, says Maria Hopman. She is an exercise physiologist at Radboudumc. She did a lot of research into the efforts of the runners during the Four Days Marches. They did not yet talk about the heat force, but about the WBGT (Wet Bulb Globe Temperature) A more scientific name for heat force. "We actually already included those four factors of temperature, wind, radiant heat and humidity in our decision-making process for the Four Days Marches. By now linking the term heat power to it and sharing it with a wide audience on a daily basis, everyone can benefit from it." Heat fit is also importantIn addition to the heat force index, there is now also such a thing as being heat fit. This index looks at, for example, the general fitness of someone, age and the clothing they wear. In hot weather, for example, a sweater is an extra factor in the body becoming too warm and possibly becoming unwell. The KNMI wants to integrate heat power into their weather warnings, so that the public and security services are better informed. In the coming year, the KNMI will first practice with the heat force index before it will be used more widely. DJ https://nltimes.nl/2024/12/06/seventh-official-storm-year-hits-netherlands-second-ten-days or https://nltimes.nl/2024/12/06/seventh-official-storm-year-hits-netherlands-second-ten-days ;The Netherlands is facing its eighth official storm of 2024, with severe winds battering the country and causing widespread disruptions. Schiphol Airport, rail operators, and highway authorities have reported significant impacts as the entire nation, except for Limburg and Noord-Brabant, is under a code yellow weather warning. According to weather service Weeronline, the first winter storm of the 2024-2025 season was officially designated early Friday morning, marking the seventh storm of the year. At Vlieland, average wind speeds reached force 9 on the Beaufort Scale between 6 a.m. and 7 a.m., meeting the criteria for an official storm. Wind gusts in the northwestern coastal areas exceeded 100 kilometers per hour, with the highest gust recorded at 108 kilometers per hour at Vlieland. “The strong gusts of wind will come from the west to northwest and will reach speeds of 75-90 km/h, possibly 90-100 km/h along the coast, and possibly 100-120 km/h on the Wadden Sea,” said meteorological service KNMI. Weeronline highlighted that this is the first winter storm of the 2024-2025 season but the seventh storm overall in 2024. The previous storm, Conall, hit in late November, bringing wind speeds of 128 kilometers per hour and severe disruptions in northern regions. So far this year storms claimed one life in NL...limited damage...Trend is in the wrong direction. Rain can do a lot of damage-high levels of groundwater may result in "slow flooding"-with no room left for extra rain/influx via rivers to go to...
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/12/did-a-terminal-temperature-acceleration-event-start-in-december-2024.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/12/did-a-terminal-temperature-acceleration-event-start-in-december-2024.html ;
Did a Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event start in December 2024?The red dots in the above image are Copernicus ERA5 global daily mean near-surface (2m) air temperature anomalies Dec. 13, 2022 through Dec. 7, 2024, compared to a 1991-2020 base (left vertical axis) and a 1901-1930 base (right vertical axis). The shading indicates El Niño (June 2023 up to May 2024, pink), surrounded by ENSO-neutral conditions and a short, weak La Niña (all blue). Two trends are added based on these data (red dots). The linear trend (black) shows a steady, rapid rise. The non-linear trend (red) better follows variations such as El Niño and sunspots, and it indicates that a Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event may have started in December 2024 (in the area with the grey shading). - Mechanisms behind accelerated temperature rise Recent research led by Helge Goessling suggests that global warming itself is reducing the number of low clouds, resulting in less sunlight getting reflected back into space. “If a large part of the decline in albedo is indeed due to feedbacks between global warming and low clouds, as some climate models indicate, we should expect rather intense warming in the future,” Helge Goessling warns. A Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event could be occur soon due to a number of mechanisms, including: https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-second-warmest-november-globally-confirms-expectation-2024-warmest-year or https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-second-warmest-november-globally-confirms-expectation-2024-warmest-year ; Global Temperatures
DJ, Of course "pre-industrial" treshold/10 year averages is playing with statistics...The extreme weather events may indicate real temperature rise may be 2,5C+... The warmer it gets-the faster further temperature increases go...
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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https://www.france24.com/en/france/20241215-more-than-a-dozen-killed-as-cyclone-chido-devastates-france-s-mayotte or https://www.france24.com/en/france/20241215-more-than-a-dozen-killed-as-cyclone-chido-devastates-france-s-mayotte ;
Authorities in the French overseas territory of Mayotte said on Sunday that the death toll from Cyclone Chido could rise to "several hundred" and perhaps "several thousand", after the storm swept across the Indian Ocean island on its way to east Africa. - "I think there will be definitely several hundred, perhaps we will come close to a thousand or even several thousand," prefect Francois-Xavier Bieuville said on broadcaster Mayotte la Premiere, after the disaster largely destroyed the shantytowns in which around one-third of the archipelago's population live, as well as cutting off electricity, water and communications links. Officials had warned earlier that it would take days to know the full toll and counted 14 killed in a provisional list, a local security source told AFP. Rescue workers and supplies are being rushed in by air and sea, but their efforts are likely to be hindered by damage to airports and electricity distribution in a territory where even clean drinking water was already subject to chronic shortages. Nine people were gravely wounded and fighting for their lives in hospital, said Ambdilwahedou Soumaila, mayor of Mayotte's capital Mamoudzou, while 246 more were seriously injured. Mayotte's 320,000 residents had been ordered into lockdown as cyclone Chido bore down on the islands around 500 kilometres (310 miles) east of Mozambique. Its gusts of at least 226 kilometres per hour had "completely destroyed" the territory's many shantytowns, acting Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau said following a crisis meeting in Paris late Saturday. Electricity poles were hurled to the ground, trees uprooted and sheet-metal roofs and walls torn off improvised structures inhabited by at least one-third of the population. "It will take several days" to establish the full death toll, but "we fear that it is heavy", Retailleau added. Retailleau will travel to Mayotte on Monday, his office said, alongside 160 soldiers and firefighters to reinforce the 110 already deployed to the islands from mainland France ahead of the storm. Medical personnel and equipment were being delivered from Sunday by air and sea, said the prefecture in La Reunion, another French Indian Ocean territory some 1,400 kilometres away on the other side of Madagascar. "We are continuing to evaluate the needs of emergency services and the population to organise the schedule" of deployment, the prefecture said in a statement. 'Major damage'"Everything has been swept away, everything is razed," said Mounira, a woman whose house was destroyed in the Kaweni district in Mamoudzou's east – France's largest shantytown. More than 15,000 homes are without electricity, acting Environment Minister Agnes-Pannier Runacher has said, while telephone access is severely limited even for emergency calls. - https://tass.com/emergencies/1887571 or https://tass.com/emergencies/1887571 ; MOSCOW, December 15. /TASS/. The damage sustained by two Russian oil tankers in a storm caused a spill of oil products in the waters of the Black Sea, the Federal Agency for Sea and Inland Water Transport reported on Sunday. "Today two tankers, Volgoneft 212 and Volgoneft 239, were damaged due to a storm in the waters of the Black Sea. There are 15 people on board of one ship and 14 people on the other. The damage caused an oil spill emergency," the agency specified. Two rescue tugboats and two helicopters have been dispatched, the agency said. DJ, In Mayotte illigal immigrants-not in any administration-Muslim-may need to be burried within 24 hours...May result in incomplete picture of lives lossed...
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Chido or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Chido ;
Mayotte[edit]At least 20 people were killed[11] and 830 were injured by Chido in Mayotte,[12] with hundreds and possibly thousands more feared dead.[13] Wind speeds reached 226 km/h (140 mph) at Dzaoudzi–Pamandzi International Airport,[14] which suffered severe damage in the cyclone.[15] Numerous homes were badly damaged and debris covered streets throughout the island.[16] In the capital, Mamoudzou, most homes, administrative buildings and part of the town hall were severely damaged, with entire shanty towns reported destroyed.[17] Mayotte's prefect François-Xavier Bieuville said Chido was the most violent and destructive cyclone since 1934.[18] More than 15,000 homes lost electricity.[19] Comoros[edit]In Anjouan, two people were injured and five houses were destroyed, with mosques, other houses and poultry coops suffering damage. In Grande Comore, 11 fishermen were declared missing but were found on 15 December. Chido also brought strong winds heavy rains to Mohéli, causing crop damage.[20][5] Mozambique[edit]At least three people were killed by Chido in northern Mozambique, where an estimated two million people were thought to be affected.[21] Many homes, schools and health facilities were destroyed in Pemba, where communications were cut off by the cyclone.[22] Power outages occurred in Cabo Delgado and Nampula Provinces.[23] https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/ or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/ several other West Pacific storms (India, Philippines, Japan)... https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4145.1050.html#lastPost or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4145.1050.html#lastPost ;(Arctic/North Pole) Extent 14-Dec is 10,608,578 km2, An increase in extent of 63,144 km2 which is 5,400 km2 less than the 10 year 5 day running average of 68,544 km2 Extent in lowest place in the satellite record, 402k below 2016 in 2nd place and 544k below 2020 in third place. https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.4850.html#lastPost or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.4850.html#lastPost ;(Antarctica/South Pole) Average remaining melt (of the last 10 years) would produce a sea ice area minimum in Feb 2025 of 1.87 million km2, 0.81 million km2 above the record < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> The world's largest iceberg, "A23a", was caught in a whirlpool in Antarctica and was swept away by the current towards the north. DJ, also glaciers in bad shape... |
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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https://www.france24.com/en/france/20241216-rescuers-race-to-reach-survivors-in-french-territory-of-mayotte-after-cyclone or https://www.france24.com/en/france/20241216-rescuers-race-to-reach-survivors-in-french-territory-of-mayotte-after-cyclone ;
France used ships and military aircraft to rush rescue workers and supplies to its Indian Ocean territory of Mayotte on Monday after the island group was battered by its worst cyclone in nearly a century. Authorities fear hundreds and possibly thousands of people have died. Cyclone Chido leveled entire neighborhoods of metal shacks and other flimsy structures when it hit Mayotte, France’s poorest department, on Saturday. Entire hillside villages were reduced to a jumble of snapped trees and piles of corrugated metal and wooden frames of houses. Authorities used military-style vehicles to clear trees from roads so rescuers and supplies could reach those in need. The damage – including to the main airport – has left some areas still inaccessible to emergency teams, hampering authorities’ ability to assess the devastation and get basic necessities to survivors. French Health Minister Geneviève Darrieussecq said the official death toll stood at 14 but told France 2 television that was likely a major undercount “compared to the scale of the disaster.” Electricity supplies and communication lines have been knocked out to large parts of Mayotte, and authorities are concerned about a shortage of drinking water. Meanwhile, the main hospital suffered extensive damage. People were also starting to go hungry, according to Mayotte Sen. Salama Ramia. She told BFM-TV that many people heading to shelters found dire conditions. “There’s no water, no electricity. Hunger is starting to rise. It’s urgent that aid arrives, especially when you see children, babies, to whom we have nothing concrete to offer,” she said. Mayotte, the poorest place in the European Union, is a densely populated archipelago of around 300,000 people, most of whom are Muslim, that sits between Madagascar and the African continent. Comprising two main islands, it has been under French administration since 1841. Many of its makeshift houses and roads were pummeled by Chido, which brought winds in excess of 220 kph (136 mph), according to the French weather service. It was a category 4 cyclone, the second strongest on the scale, and the worst to hit Mayotte since the 1930s, Prefect François-Xavier Bieuville said. see also https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/volcanos-earthquakes-glaciers-fires-hurricanes/1002569-mayotte-epidemic-risks-lack-of-water-after-the-passage-of-cyclone-chido or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/earth-weather-astronomy-environment/volcanos-earthquakes-glaciers-fires-hurricanes/1002569-mayotte-epidemic-risks-lack-of-water-after-the-passage-of-cyclone-chido ; Epidemic risks, lack of water: Mayotte faces numerous health challenges after the passage of cyclone Chido Juliette Desmonceaux and Margaux de Frouville THE12/16/2024 at 12:52 Cyclone Chido violently struck the island of Mayotte in the Indian Ocean on Saturday, December 14, causing at least 14 deaths according to a very provisional report released by the authorities on Sunday. The territory now fears the spread of cholera, as its hospital was partly destroyed by the bad weather. After the cyclone, Mayotte fears new health challenges. While at least 14 people were killed in the bad weather, the damage caused by the passage of cyclone Chido on Saturday, December 14 worries the authorities who fear epidemics, while the health system is further degraded by the passage of bad weather. - "We are heading straight for a health disaster" Furthermore, the authorities fear the spread of epidemics, while in Mayotte, the poorest department in France, housing is mostly precarious and sanitary conditions were already poor on a daily basis for many residents, even before the cyclone, and they will now worsen. "If we don't act quickly, with the heat, with the rainy season coming, we are heading straight for a health disaster," warned Senator Rally of Democrats, Progressives and Independents of Mayotte Said Omar Oili on BFMTV on Monday, referring to many bodies probably still "under the rubble." Former president of the community of the commune of Petite-Terre, an island in the Mayotte archipelago, the senator is particularly worried about the inhabitants of La Vigie, the "largest shanty town in France". "This (Monday) morning, people went to La Vigie and it's silent, we don't see anyone in the streets," he explains, fearing many deaths, risking further aggravating an already very difficult health context. For the resigning Minister of Health, vigilance is required. "We will need very strong health monitoring with the detection of possible emerging contagious diseases coming from the consumption of polluted water or spoiled food," she told BFMTV. Fear of a return of cholera Among the feared diseases, cholera is of particular concern to the authorities, as the disease spreads through the consumption of contaminated water or food and can cause acute diarrhea or even death through dehydration. The archipelago had suffered an epidemic this year, which caused at least 5 deaths between March and July, but it had disappeared since the summer. DJ, Vanuatu-quake, Mayotte cyclone in times of pandemics is further overstretching healthcare capacity...
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Dutch Josh 2
Admin Group Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Online Points: 902 |
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https://nltimes.nl/2024/12/23/rising-temperatures-netherlands-pose-growing-health-risks or https://nltimes.nl/2024/12/23/rising-temperatures-netherlands-pose-growing-health-risks ;
Rising temperatures in the Netherlands pose growing health risksThe Dutch public health system is experiencing significant effects from climate change, with rising temperatures, increased UV radiation, and the spread of infectious diseases already taking a measurable toll, according to a report published Monday by the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM). "Climate change is already worsening health outcomes in the Netherlands," the report states. "This is evident across multiple health areas, including mortality, respiratory illnesses, infectious diseases, and mental health." The report examines the health impacts of climate change between 1991 and 2020. It identifies extreme heat, worsening air quality, prolonged allergy seasons, and the increased spread of diseases as key risks for Dutch residents. The findings, based on 30 years of data, indicate that these trends are likely to intensify in the coming years. The strongest evidence of climate change’s health impact comes from an increase in heat-related deaths. The RIVM report found that higher average temperatures and longer, hotter heatwaves now contribute to an average of 250 additional deaths per year in the Netherlands. Warm days with temperatures above 20 degrees and prolonged heatwaves have become more frequent, exacerbating health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations. Climate change has worsened air quality and allergy-related health problems, according to the report. Hot and dry weather conditions are often accompanied by elevated levels of pollen and ozone, also known as summer smog, which can cause respiratory issues, particularly among individuals with pre-existing conditions such as asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The growing season for plants is also lasting longer, resulting in higher concentrations of pollen in the air over extended periods. This has led to an increase in hay fever cases, with more people developing allergic symptoms or experiencing more severe reactions. The report also highlights a concerning rise in UV radiation exposure, attributed to longer hours of sunshine, fewer clouds, and an increase in outdoor activities during warmer weather. Prolonged UV exposure significantly raises the risk of skin cancer. The RIVM noted that preventive measures such as sun protection and public awareness campaigns are crucial to mitigate these risks. InfectionsCertain infectious diseases are also becoming more prevalent due to climate change, the RIVM found. Legionnaires' disease, caused by the Legionella bacteria, is one such example. The bacteria thrive in warm water and can be inhaled through mist, such as during heavy rainfall following warm and dry periods. Ticks, which carry Lyme disease, are now active for longer periods throughout the year as winters become milder. This extended period of tick activity increases the risk of tick-borne illnesses. The report also cites mental health as an emerging area of concern linked to climate change. The increasing threat of extreme weather events and the stress of dealing with these changes can negatively impact mental well-being. Individuals affected by severe weather or who experience prolonged uncertainty may develop anxiety, depression, or other mental health conditions. Nonetheless, the RIVM emphasized the need for further research to better understand the long-term health consequences of climate change and to develop effective policy measures. DJ-Of course most of the above goes for a lot of countries. Stress because of flood/wildfire risks, food price etc. an other healthissue |
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