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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://www.africanews.com/2024/07/25/more-than-20-people-die-in-moroccan-heatwave/ or https://www.africanews.com/2024/07/25/more-than-20-people-die-in-moroccan-heatwave/ ;
As Morocco experiences an intense heatwave, the health ministry says more than 20 people have died over the past 24 hours in the central city of Beni Mellal. Meteorologist says temperatures reached as high as 48 degrees Celsius in some areas of the country between Monday to Wednesday. Officials say most of those who passed away were either elderly or suffering from chronic illnesses, with the heat contributing to the deterioration of their health. They have urged citizen to drink lots of water to stay hydrated and to avoid going outside at times of extreme heat. In Beni Mellal, which is more than 200 kilometres southeast of Casablanca, temperatures were still as high as 43 degrees Celsius on Thursday. But meteorologist said the heat across the country is expected to ease over the coming days. In the tourism hotspot of Marrakesh, they are expected to drop by 10 degrees on Sunday. - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/24/record-breaking-heat-july-22-was-worlds-hottest-day or https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/24/record-breaking-heat-july-22-was-worlds-hottest-day ; The European Union’s climate monitor says Monday was the world’s hottest day on record after it inched past Sunday’s high as swaths of Europe, Asia and North America experienced blistering temperatures. The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said on Wednesday that the global average surface air temperature on July 22 rose to 17.15 degrees Celsius (62.9 degrees Fahrenheit) – or 0.06 degrees Celsius higher than the record set just a day earlier. Gulf countries have also experienced high temperatures that exceed 60C (140F) when factoring in humidity while some European countries saw temperatures surge to 45C (113F). As the effects of climate change intensify, weather patterns are becoming more extreme with heatwaves, droughts, ramped-up storms and floods affecting much of the globe. - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/25/ethiopia-landslide-death-toll-rises-to-257-could-almost-double-un or https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/25/ethiopia-landslide-death-toll-rises-to-257-could-almost-double-un ; Deaths caused by landslides in Ethiopia have risen to 257, but the final death toll is expected to be 500, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). The UN agency released the figures on Thursday after the landslides in the mountainous Gofa zone in southern Ethiopia, the first triggered by heavy rains on Monday, the second engulfing those who had gathered to rescue people. - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/25/un-chief-calls-for-action-to-stem-extreme-heat-epidemic or https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/25/un-chief-calls-for-action-to-stem-extreme-heat-epidemic ; The head of the United Nations has called on countries to take action to address the effects of “crippling heat”, as the world experiences record-high temperatures that have put vulnerable communities at risk. Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Antonio Guterres said billions of people around the globe are experiencing “an extreme heat epidemic” fuelled by climate change. “Extreme heat is increasingly tearing through economies, widening inequalities, undermining the Sustainable Development Goals, and killing people,” the UN secretary-general said. “We know what is driving it: fossil fuel-charged, human-induced climate change. And we know it’s going to get worse; extreme heat is the new abnormal.” DJ, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17cNHZQcBa4 or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17cNHZQcBa4 Weather Watcher;
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/034135.shtml?cone#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/034135.shtml?cone#contents
DJ-"Debby" very likely will get a "Tropical Storm"(TS) maybe Cat.1 hurricane...may reach Florida monday...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfzwkoHUEac or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfzwkoHUEac /https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ ... Depending on how fast "Debby" can move it could move over Florida towards the east US Atlantic coast...(as a storm...maybe reform to a cat 1 ???) https://www.ventusky.com/?p=41.2;-63.2;3&l=gust or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=41.2;-63.2;3&l=gust showing another hurricane forming next week-may hit the south of the US... More bizarre-storms moving from Canada to the UK...(a bit of a pattern for autumn/fall)... West of Mexico some indications for a very deep low pressure area... DJ-Recent "models" no longer indicate 20C+ for Greenland...but extreme weather tends to get even more unpredictable... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season# or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season# https://www.rtvoost.nl/nieuws/2459278/vijftig-huizen-in-enschede-onbewoonbaar-door-wateroverlast-bewoners-krijgen-ander-huis or https://www.rtvoost.nl/nieuws/2459278/vijftig-huizen-in-enschede-onbewoonbaar-door-wateroverlast-bewoners-krijgen-ander-huis ; Residents of more than fifty houses in Pathmos and Stadsveld in Enschede will receive replacement housing. This is necessary because their houses have become uninhabitable due to the floods on 21 July. At that time, there was an extreme amount of rain in parts of Twente. Sewage caused considerable damage to a large number of houses that evening. Bacteria and fungi from sewage pose health risks. That is why all affected residents will be provided with alternative housing in the short term. DJ, Very likely climate collapse will be in a growing number of "smaller events" more then in "sensational news"....Already a combination of climate and war resulting in famine a.o. in Sudan...(with those most responsible for the crisis worsening it by sending weapons-not food/water/doctors...). |
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_Debby or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Tropical_Storm_Debby ;
On July 26, the NHC started tracking a tropical wave with the potential for development into a tropical cyclone.[105] As it moved westward, the NHC noted that the tropical wave was becoming well-defined,[106] designating it Potential Tropical Cyclone Four on August 2.[107] That night, the system developed a closed circulation just off the southern coast of Cuba, causing the NHC to upgrade it into a tropical depression.[38] Tropical Depression Four entered the Gulf of Mexico where it further intensified into Tropical Storm Debby later on August 3.[39] Due to flooding threats posed by Debby, Governor Ron DeSantis placed 54 counties in Florida under a state of emergency on August 1.[108]In addition, Governor Brain Kemp declared a state of emergency in Georgia ahead of Debby. [109] https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/034742.shtml?cone#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/034742.shtml?cone#contents https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKo-JoqpEZ0 or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKo-JoqpEZ0 Tropical Tidbits;
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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Accu Weather https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4m4kZBozALo or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4m4kZBozALo ;
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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Dry air may prevent "Debby" from getting into a cat 2 (+) hurricane...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NeX4PhtLzJw or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NeX4PhtLzJw Tropical Tidbits;
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr5qPFkkzeY or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr5qPFkkzeY ; (WPDE-ABC15)
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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DJ; "Debby" did/does bring heavy rain to Canada-soon will move into the Atlantic. It will affect weathersystems resulting in "hot air" moving to NW Europe monday/tuesday..very strong thinderstorms (and flooding) following it...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Debby or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Debby ; Rainfall impacted nations across the Caribbean, especially Cuba and Puerto Rico.[114][115][116] States of emergency were declared for the states of Florida, Georgia, and North and South Carolina ahead of the storm. Heavy rains fell as a result of the storm moving slowly, with accumulations peaking near 20 inches (51 cm) of rain near Sarasota, Florida as of August 7. Seven fatalities have been attributed to the storm so far, and preliminary damage reports are estimated to be at least US$2 billion.[117] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Beryl or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Atlantic_hurricane_season#Hurricane_Beryl ; A total of 64 fatalities have been confirmed, and preliminary damage estimates are more than US$5.06 billion.[98][99] DJ, https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7 "Ernesto" is on its way to the US... https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/08/paris-agreement-thresholds-crossed.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/08/paris-agreement-thresholds-crossed.html ; The current temperature is higher than the temperature at this time of year in 2023, which is remarkable given that we were in an El Niño back in August 2023, while a transition to La Niña around August-October 2024 is expected, as illustrated by the image below, adapted from NOAA. - IPCC keeps downplaying the danger Note that neither the 1903-1924 base (image top) nor the 1991-2020 base (above image) are pre-industrial. When using a genuinely pre-industrial base, the temperature anomaly has over the past thirteen months also been above the 2°C threshold that politicians at the 2015 Paris Agreement pledged wouldn't be crossed. Meanwhile, the IPCC keeps downplaying the danger, e.g. by claiming that we're still well below the 1.5°C threshold. - The above image, from an earlier post, shows that the February 2024 temperature was 1.76°C above 1885-1915, potentially 2.75°C above pre-industrial (bright yellow inset right). The red line (6 months Lowess smoothing) highlights the steep rise that had already taken place by then. The IPCC has not only failed to warn about the size of the temperature rise from pre-industrial, the IPCC has also failed to warn about developments contributing to such a rise. As illustrated by the image below, adapted from Climate Reanalyzer, the July 2024 temperature anomaly was huge over and around much of Antarctica. - Sea ice loss results in less sunlight getting reflected back into space and instead getting absorbed by the ocean and the impact of Antarctic sea ice loss is even stronger than Arctic sea ice loss, as Antarctic sea ice is located closer to the Equator, as pointed out by Paul Beckwith in a video in an earlier post. A warmer Southern Ocean also comes with fewer bright clouds, further reducing albedo, as discussed here and here. For decades, there still were many lower clouds over the Southern Ocean, reflecting much sunlight back into space, but these lower clouds have been decreasing over time, further speeding up the amount of sunlight getting absorbed by the water of the Southern Ocean, and this 'pattern effect' could make a huge difference globally, as this study points out. Emissivity is a further factor; open oceans are less efficient than sea ice when it comes to emitting in the far-infrared region of the spectrum (feedback #23 on the feedbacks page). DJ, Like pandemics "politics/experst for sale" simply deny the problem...only making matters much worse much faster... "When your house is collapsing on top of you-you can try to deny it is happening...try to survive and get out of the ruins and learn yo have been fooling yourself !"
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/ or https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/ ;
The U.S. has sustained 395 weather and climate disasters since 1980 where overall damages/costs reached or exceeded $1 billion (including CPI adjustment to 2024). The total cost of these 395 events exceeds $2.770 trillion. - 2024 in Progress…In 2024 (as of August 8), there have been 19 confirmed weather/climate disaster events with losses exceeding $1 billion each to affect United States. These events included 15 severe storm events, 1 tropical cyclone event, 1 wildfire event, and 2 winter storm events. Overall, these events resulted in the deaths of 149 people and had significant economic effects on the areas impacted. The 1980–2023 annual average is 8.5 events (CPI-adjusted); the annual average for the most recent 5 years (2019–2023) is 20.4 events (CPI-adjusted). DJ, What costs do you include as Climate costs and why? https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adk4500 or https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adk4500 ; However, there is also a new threat that is being overlooked—the interaction between climate change and infectious diseases. A comprehensive meta-analysis revealed that climate change could aggravate more than 50% of known human pathogens. Unfortunately, this is happening now. Since the last big wave of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)—the omicron variant—less than 2 years ago, a range of pathogens have suddenly emerged. Some are not well-known, such as mpox and chikungunya virus; others have been known about for centuries, such as Vibrio cholerae (which causes cholera) and Plasmodia parasites (which cause malaria). There is even the prospect that pathogens frozen in the permafrost, for which no immunity currently exists, may be released as the climate continues to warm. Such a notion may be considered alarmist. And some people may think neither climate change nor epidemics are real or that both will pass. However, there is overwhelming evidence that climate change is fueling disease outbreaks and epidemics and that it is not a matter of if, but when, such events will precipitate another pandemic. DJ, Statistics have limits but how likely is it that climate "change" and "pandemics" -pure on statistics- are NOT related...? One way of looking at it may be from a history-timeline perspective..."A big undetailed picture" with experts further looking for the details...African Swine Fever on a global scale 2018-2020 followed by CoViD in 2019...Mpox going wild since 2022...H5N1 has been around for some time but also now is at an unseen scale... The Spanish Flu and World War One IS related...How it interacted is however part of a major discussion... So linking climate "collapse" with pandemics is a "first step" -however it is a big step forward !
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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Arctic; https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4145.700.html#lastPost or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4145.700.html#lastPost ;
Average remaining extent loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in September 2024 of 3.92 million KM2, 0.75 million KM2 Antarctic; https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.4600.html#lastPost or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1759.4600.html#lastPost ; Average remaining freeze (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in Sept 2023 of 17.46 million km2, 0.48 million km2 above the 2023 record low maximum of 16.99 million km2, which would be 2nd lowest in the satellite record. In only 2 of the 18 years from 2006 to 2023 is gain from now low enough to produce a new record low maximum https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/023736.shtml?gm_track#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/023736.shtml?gm_track#contents DJ; "Ernesto" looks to end up over the North Atlantic in the middle of this week-may result in warm air pushed towards the Arctic...
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Dutch Josh
Admin Group Joined: 23 Jun 2024 Status: Offline Points: 554 |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g2FLtwE8fxQ or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g2FLtwE8fxQ ; Dr. Gilbz;
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