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Dutch Josh 2 
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Joined: 21 Aug 2024 Status: Offline Points: 1797 |
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 Posted: 21 Feb 2025 at 12:19am |
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https://www.greenpeace.org/international/story/67866/energy-transfer-slapp-lawsuit-vs-greenpeace-people-power/ or https://www.greenpeace.org/international/story/67866/energy-transfer-slapp-lawsuit-vs-greenpeace-people-power/ ;
Greenpeace USA and Greenpeace International are scheduled to go to trial in North Dakota, USA. We are being sued by Energy Transfer – a US-based fossil fuel company that is responsible for the Dakota Access Pipeline – for nearly US $300 million related to the Indigenous-led 2016 protests at Standing Rock. Not only does this SLAPP attempt to rewrite the history of this movement led by the Standing Rock Sioux, but a loss at trial could prove destructive to Greenpeace in the US and have widespread impacts for the climate justice movement all around the world. Energy Transfer’s SLAPP against Greenpeace is a crucial test of this dangerous legal tactic that, if successful, could be widely applied against peaceful protesters, and indeed, anyone who speaks out or criticises a deep-pocketed corporation. Let’s take a deeper look at the backstory of this lawsuit, the threat posed by SLAPPs, and why this case matters for all of us. DJ, eXtinction Rebellion = "terrorism". Greenpeace "damaging" strategic US energy interests... Air polution is worsening general health and via that route worsening pandemics... If you put profits above everything else you end up destroying the planet...in the interest of a few..
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 23 Feb 2025 at 11:44pm |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LrS4PKDln0E or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LrS4PKDln0E Just Have a Think;
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 27 Feb 2025 at 1:47pm |
 < aria-describedby="id__smhnjt2rshe" aria-label="Subscribe to @TropicalTidbits" role="" ="-175oi2r r-sdzlij r-1phboty r-rs99b7 r-lrvibr r-15ysp7h r-4wgw6l r-3pj75a r-1loqt21 r-o7ynqc r-6416eg r-1ny4l3l" -testid="344425346-subscribe" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; : rgb239, 243, 244; border-width: 1px; border-style: solid; border-color: rgba0, 0, 0, 0; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 32px; min-width: 32px; padding: 0px 16px; : relative; : 0; border-radius: 9999px; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; transition-property: , -shadow; user-: none; transition-duration: 0.2s;"> Subscribe < aria-label="Grok s" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> < aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;"> I never publicly comment on political matters because they are usually irrelevant to my work of providing hurricane data and forecasts to people in my personal capacity. Today though, it is highly relevant, and as a member of the meteorological community, I am angry.
Planned or ongoing bulk workforce cuts would irreparably harm the National Weather Service, NOAA, and their scientists who save innumerable lives by warning people in advance of tornadoes, hurricanes, wildfires, tsunamis, blizzards, and other life-threatening hazards. Many of you reading this may knowingly or unknowingly be alive today because of their work, or know someone who is. As a direct consequence of wounding the NWS and NOAA, the public would be less safe.
My personal mission to bring hurricane science, data, and forecasts to the public would not be possible without the weather observations, doppler radar stations, computer models, hurricane hunter aircraft, and weather satellites provided by NOAA and the NWS. Your favorite weather apps, TV meteorologists, and private weather companies would also be unable to function without this data or the civil servants who live and breathe it to synthesize it into public safety information.
All of these benefits cost each taxpayer the equivalent of a few cups of coffee per year, and surveys show most would be willing to pay much more. The American weather enterprise saves many, many times more money than it costs to run, making it one of the biggest bangs for your buck in the government. The impact of quality weather forecasts and infrastructure on society is multiplied many-fold by preventing economic disruptions, keeping public transportation efficient, and providing lead time to prepare for and mitigate disasters. Most importantly, it saves priceless lives.
Careful, long-term plans to streamline or reorient the weather enterprise in an evolving world are not bad, but *this plan* is insane. A feverish rush to take a cleaver to this workforce is self-destructive and dangerous to Americans who rely on the services they provide. It also cuts off the legs of young, passionate scientists who represent the future of meteorology in the new age of AI and other emerging technologies -- the very people we need in the field right now.
As a part of this community since the age of 8 when I began analyzing hurricanes with dial-up internet, I am heartbroken and concerned by what appears to be planned or already in motion. It also directly impacts my friends and family. I cannot be silent, despite knowing I do myself no favors by speaking out. I ask you to join me in advocating for and if you value their work or the work that I am able to do because of them. There are many ways to make your voice heard.
That's all for now, thanks for reading. DJ, Anti-science kills !
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 03 Mar 2025 at 12:43am |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sORs8MqOlRg or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sORs8MqOlRg just have a think/UK;
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 07 Mar 2025 at 4:01am |
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DJ, Just like "politics-for-sale" were a total disaster-"saving the economy"-in pandemics also in climate-kicking cans down the road-only made matters worse...So...let us start more wars....
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/could-earth-reach-an-18C-rise-by-december-2026.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/could-earth-reach-an-18C-rise-by-december-2026.html ; Sam Carana’s Arctic News blog posits a potential 18°C temperature rise above pre-industrial levels by December 2026, driven by ten amplifying mechanisms—ENSO shifts, sunspot peaks, aerosol decline, albedo loss, permafrost thaw, methane eruptions, clouds tipping, ocean heat anomalies, fluorinated gases, and wildfires. Prompted by this, I queried Grok 3 (xAI) to model the trajectory and impacts, integrating Kris Van Steenbergen’s February 25, 2025, observation: the Northern Hemisphere (NH) has hit +3°C (1850-1900 baseline), with Arctic CO2 at 440 ppm, permafrost thawing rapidly, and sea ice at wafer-thin levels. - Here’s a detailed rundown of the run-up to this catastrophic threshold, assessing feasibility and consequences for crops, food stocks, societal stability, and extreme responses. Starting at Kris’s NH +3°C (February 2025), we adjust March 2025 to a global mean of 2-2.5°C (vs. NOAA’s 1.5°C 2024 baseline), reflecting Arctic amplification (440 ppm CO2, ~14 ppm/year rise). Sam’s mechanisms suggest an exponential curve, with NH warming doubling in speed (0.1-0.2°C/decade historical to 1-2°C/year). Using an exponential fit (T(t) = T₀ + A·(e^(kt) - 1)), where T₀ = 2.5°C, T(1.83 years) = 18°C, k ≈ 2.1, A ≈ 2.5: July 2025: 5-6°C global (NH 7-8°C). Sunspots peak (#2), El Niño strengthens (#1), and early albedo loss (#5) from a shrinking Arctic ice extent (13.892 million km² trending to <1 million km²) drive a 2.5-3.5°C rise from March. December 2025: 9-11°C global (NH 11-13°C). Double Blue Ocean Event (#5), permafrost methane releases (#6), and latent heat loss (#6) accelerate—CO₂e nears 600-700 ppm (CH₄ doubling underway). July 2026: 15-17°C global (NH 17-19°C). Clouds tipping point (~1200 ppm CO₂e, #7) adds ~8°C (Sam’s estimate), methane doubles, water vapor surges (2.1°C, #7). NH doubles global rate. December 2026: 18°C global (NH 20-22°C). Full cascade—ocean heat (#8), wildfires (#9), and fluorinated gases (#10) seal the endgame.
This ~15.5-16°C global rise over 21 months (0.74-0.76°C/month, NH 1-2°C/month in 2026) aligns with Sam’s stacked feedbacks and Kris’s “uncontrollable” NH warming, fueled by 440 ppm CO2 and ice/permafrost collapse. Crop Production Collapse
At 5-6°C by July 2025, staple crops face severe stress:
Wheat: Optimal 15-20°C; US Midwest, Ukraine hit 35-40°C—yields drop 6-10% per 1°C (30-50% loss). Rice: 20-35°C max; Southeast Asia (India, Vietnam) at 40-45°C—20-40% reduction. Corn: 35°C limit; US Corn Belt at 40-45°C—40-50% loss. Soy: Brazil, US at 35-45°C—30-40% decline. El Niño (#1) droughts (Australia, South America) and floods (#8, India) cut yields further (20-30%). Global production falls 40-60%—tropics near total loss, cooler zones (Siberia) insufficient to offset. By December 2025 (9-11°C), losses reach 60-80%; July 2026 (15-17°C), agriculture ceases—soil temps exceed seed tolerance, pollinators extinct. Crop Price Spikes Baseline (March 2025): wheat $250/MT, rice $500/MT, corn $200/MT, soy $400/MT. Crop price at July 2025’s 40-60% drop: Wheat: $500-$750/MT (100-200% rise)—stocks (280M MT, USDA 2024) buffer briefly, but panic doubles rates.Rice: $1,250-$2,000/MT (150-400%)—Asia-centric collapse, export bans (e.g., India). Corn: $400-$700/MT (100-250%)—feed crisis spikes meat costs. Soy: $800-$1,200/MT (100-200%)—oil demand surges. Spikes begin June 2025 as NH harvests (wheat, corn) falter—200-400% by July, 500-1,000% (wheat $1,250+, rice $5,000+) in worst-case zones by December 2025 (9-11°C). Food Stock Depletion July 2025 (5-6°C): 40-60% crop loss, panic rate (20-40M MT/month); December 2025 (9-11°C): 60-120M MT left; July 2026 (15-17°C): <20M MT; depleted early-mid 2026 (12-14 months). Australia: 22-28M MT (grains 20-25M)—1-1.5 years. July 2025: 20-50% loss, 1-3M MT/month; December 2025: 5-15M MT; July 2026: <5M MT; gone mid-2026 (12-15 months). NH doubling speed (1-2°C/month) nudges U.S. depletion to early 2026—stocks vanish at 14-16°C. Distribution Dynamics U.S. July 2025: FEMA controls 1-5% (1-15M MT), National Guard distributes to hubs (Denver, 50-70% reach); commercial 95% rationed—riots, black markets ($1,000/MT wheat). December 2025 (9-11°C): Military seizes 20-30%, 30-50% delivered—warlords rule rest. Australia July 2025: ADF holds 5-10% (1-2M MT) for cities (Sydney, 70-80% reach); rural hoards—refugees get scraps. December 2025: ADF 20-30%, 50-70% reach—rural warlords take over. By July 2026 (15-17°C), both see <10% distribution—militias scavenge remnants. Societal and Political Collapse U.S. Elections 2026: November 8 unfeasible—D.C. fractures at 9-11°C (December 2025), collapses at 15-17°C (July 2026). No FEC, power, or voters—midterms die late 2025. Trump’s Tariffs: Imposed February 2025 (25% Canada/Mexico, 10% China), end December 2025 (9-11°C)—inflation (6-8%), trade collapse, and riots force reversal. MLB: 2025 World Series (October, 6-8°C) limps on—half-empty, generator-run; 2026 canceled at 15-17°C—stadiums turn shelters. July 2025 (5-6°C): 1.2-1.3B each—rice/wheat down 30-50%, 5-10% die-off. December 2025 (9-11°C): 700-900M—60-80% crop loss, 20-30% gone. July 2026 (15-17°C): 300-500M—Himalayas, Tibet delay; 50-60% dead. December 2026 (18°C): 50-100M—wet-bulb 36-40°C ends it. At 9-11°C (December 2025), Russia might fire first—15-20 warheads (NYC, London, Siberia forests)—5-10 Tg soot, 5-15°C cooling. Motive: Arctic feedbacks (440 ppm CO2, methane doubling). Outcome: Brief respite, billions die—18°C rebounds post-fallout. Plausibility Kris’s NH +3°C (440 ppm CO2) and doubling speed (1-2°C/month) make 5-10°C by 2026 plausible if tipping points cascade; 18°C remains a theoretical max. Even 5°C triggers collapse—18°C is existential. From 3°C NH (March 2025) to 18°C global (December 2026), crops crash by July 2025 (40-60%), prices spike (200-400%), stocks deplete mid-2026 (14-16°C), and civilization unravels—tariffs end, elections vanish, nukes fly. Sam’s mechanisms, amplified by Kris’s Arctic data, paint a dire warning. Full details available—thoughts, group? DJ...If those basic ideas are correct we may not be around much longer...
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 08 Mar 2025 at 11:12pm |
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DJ, Yesterday we had a 20C/almost 65F temperature in this part of NL...
The coming days will be colder/more normal... Climate and weather are not the same...However climate collapse will bring more extreme weather... On climate collapse "lots of scenarios". From very alarming...extreme rise within a few years-ending life... To "we may still have some room" and "there may be positive feedbacks"... However indications from the recent past/last two years indicate the extreme weather events are both increasing and getting stronger...And it is the extreme event-NOT the "average" that may do most of the killing... Heat waves/extreme rain and urban areas are a bad combination. Both are increasing...we now have lots of urban areas with a population of 1 million+ -often near water (river/sea/delta), "wet bulb" temperature risks are going up... "Wet bulb temperature" means a body can no longer cool itself-gets overheated/exhausted and may die... Sea level rise also is increasing-will NOT go smoothly...Methane release may be "explosive" (Arctic Earthquakes...) -Politics FAIL to even start looking for real solutions-like politics fail in pandemics and wars...So "we learn the hard way" if we learn at all... The largest cities often house a lot of poor people in bad places...so landslides/flooding is a risk more for the poor. Pandemics and climate collapse are interlinked; Malaria, cholera-on top of lots of other diseases-will increase... The good point; We know the risks.. The bad point; We do not do anything with that knowledge |
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 11 Mar 2025 at 3:54am |
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https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/daily-carbon-dioxide-crosses-430-ppm.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/daily-carbon-dioxide-crosses-430-ppm.html ;
The above image illustrates the threat of a huge temperature rise. The red trendline warns that the temperature could increase at a terrifying speed soon. The global surface air temperature was 13.87°C on March 8, 2025, the highest temperature on record for this day. This is the more remarkable since this record high temperature was reached during a La Niña. The transition from La Niña to El Niño is only one out of ten mechanisms that could jointly cause the temperature rise to accelerate dramatically in a matter of months, as described in a previous post. Another one of these mechanisms is the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. Increase in carbon dioxide DJ, The atmosphere is changing-CO2, methane, water vapor are containing more warmth. Carbon dioxide typically reaches its annual maximum in May, which means that even higher daily averages can be expected over the next few months. The image below shows that this reading of 430.6 ppm at Mauna Loa is way higher than the highest daily averages recorded in 2024. - The annual increase in CO₂ at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, is accelerating, as illustrated by the image below. - A trend, based on 2015-2024 annual data, points at 1200 ppm CO₂ getting crossed in the year 2032, as illustrated by the image below. The above trend illustrates that the clouds tipping point could get crossed in early 2032 due to rising CO₂ alone, which on its own could push temperatures up by an additional 8°C. The clouds tipping point is actually at 1200 ppm CO₂e, so when growth of other greenhouse gases and further mechanisms is taken into account, the tipping point could be crossed much earlier than in 2033. Increase in methane Methane in the atmosphere could be doubled soon if a trend unfolds as depicted in the image below. A rapid rise is highlighted in the inset and reflected in the trend. The trend points at a doubling of methane by March 2026. If the trend would continue, methane concentrations in the atmosphere would by September 2026 increase to more than triple the most recent value, and would increase to more than fourfold the most recent value by the end of 2026. A rise like the one depicted in the trend could eventuate as rising ocean heat destabilizes methane hydrates contained in sediments at the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean. The temperature rise in the Arctic would accelerate since the methane would have a huge immediate impact on temperatures over the Arctic and cause depletion of hydroxyl, of which there is very little in the atmosphere over the Arctic in the first place. Such a rise in methane would also dramatically increases in tropospheric ozone and in stratospheric water vapor. A large increase in methane over the Arctic would also trigger massive wildfires and devastate terrestrial permafrost, resulting in huge amounts of further emissions. DJ, Methane, CO2 may be realesed in an explosive manner...further increasing "warming". The heat-energy to melt ice is enough to increase temperature from 0 to 80C... Even with all best efforts we only may be able-in the short term-limit damage. Like with pandemics-we are allready in a collapse phase. Wars only worsen pandemics, climate collapse...still seem to be the major priority for bad "leaders" (for sale)...
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 15 Mar 2025 at 10:51pm |
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For the US; https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/03/noaa-spc-high-risk-of-severe.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/03/noaa-spc-high-risk-of-severe.html ;
Overnight at least 25 tornadoes were reported across the Midwest, along with hundreds of reports of high winds and hail (see chart below), as was predicted 3 days ago by NOAA (see NOAA SPC: Multi-day Episode Of Severe Weather Expected Fri/Sat). - While much of the damage won't be revealed until after sunrise today, already there are media reports of multiple storm-related fatalities. While yesterday's forecast was for a moderate risk of severe weather, today that ramps up to a HIGH risk in parts of the deep south. DJ, At least 32 US deaths, lots of damage and worsening (by wind) wildfires... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/ or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/ has two stormsystems in the Indian Ocean east of Africa. - https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/el-nino-in-2025.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/el-nino-in-2025.html ; El Nino in 2025?The trends on the image below indicate that temperatures keep rising and that the rise may accelerate soon.  Will a new El Niño emerge in the course of 2025? The probabilities of El Niño conditions are expected to rise in the course of 2025. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño can make a difference of more than 0.5°C, as illustrated by the image below. - The potential for a huge temperature rise within a few months time Earth's temperature imbalance is growing, as emissions and temperatures keep rising. In a cataclysmic alignment, the upcoming El Niño threatens to develop while sunspots are higher than expected. Sunspots are predicted to peak in July 2025. The temperature difference between maximum versus minimum sunspots could be as much as 0.25°C. There are further mechanisms that could accelerate the temperature rise, such as reductions in aerosols that are currently masking global warming. - The temperature rise comes with numerous feedbacks such as loss of sea ice, loss of lower clouds, more water vapor in the atmosphere and changes in wind patterns and ocean currents that could cause extreme weather events such as forest fires and flooding to increase in frequency, intensity, duration, ubiquity and area covered, and oceans to take up less heat, with more heat instead remaining in the atmosphere. The self-reinforcing nature of many of these feedbacks could cause the temperature rise to accelerate strongly and rapidly within a few months time. Furthermore, the impact of one mechanism can trigger stronger activity in other mechanisms. Low Arctic sea ice volume (above image on the right) can trigger destabilization of hydrates at the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean, resulting in eruptions of huge amounts of methane that in turn speeds up thawing of permafrost. DJ, sticking to mistakes, in climate, pandemics, (NATO expansion) wars are the outcome of blind capitalism. If you do not change the system we keep in self destruction modus ever faster... Understanding the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_function#/media/File:Exp.svg or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_function#/media/File:Exp.svg ;  Is missing...
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 18 Mar 2025 at 11:54pm |
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https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/arctic-blue-ocean-event-2025.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/arctic-blue-ocean-event-2025.html ;
Arctic Blue Ocean Event 2025?Arctic sea ice area Arctic sea ice area has been at a record daily low since the start of February 2025. - Arctic sea ice area was 1.28 million km² lower on March 5, 2025, compared to March 5, 2012. The comparison with the year 2012 is important, since Arctic sea ice area reached its lowest minimum in 2012. Arctic sea ice area was only 2.24 million km² on September 12, 2012. The size of the sea ice can be measured either in extent or in area. What is the difference between sea ice area and extent? Extent is the total region with at least 15% sea ice cover. Extent can include holes or cracks in the sea ice and melt ponds on top of the ice, all having a darker color than ice. Sea ice area is the total region covered by ice alone. Blue Ocean Event (BOE) A Blue Ocean Event (BOE) occurs when the size of the sea ice falls to 1 million km² or less, which could occur in Summer 2025 in the Northern Hemisphere for Arctic sea ice. If the difference between 2012 and 2025 continues to be as large as it is now, there will be a Blue Ocean Event in September 2025. - The amount of energy absorbed by melting ice is as much as it takes to heat an equivalent mass of water from zero to 80°C. The energy required to melt a volume of ice can raise the temperature of the same volume of rock by as much as 150ºC. - Further incoming heat therefore threatens to instead reach the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean and destabilize methane hydrates contained in sediments at the seafloor, resulting in eruptions of huge amounts of methane, in turn threatening increased loss of permafrost, resulting in additional emissions, - The danger is especially large in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS), which contains huge amounts of methane and which is hit strongly by the temperature rise. The image below shows that high February 2025 sea surface temperature anomalies are present in the Arctic Ocean, including over ESAS. - Large abrupt methane releases will quickly deplete the oxygen in shallow waters, making it harder for microbes to break down the methane, while methane rising through waters that are shallow can enter the atmosphere very quickly. The situation is extremely dangerous, given the vast amounts of methane present in sediments in the ESAS, given the high global warming potential (GWP) of methane immediately following its release and given that over the Arctic there is very little hydroxyl in the air to break down the methane. See also https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?topic=4329.200#bot or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?topic=4329.200#bot ; Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1) Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2025 of 13.68 million km2, 0.19 million km2 below the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 1st lowest in the 47 year satellite record. DJ, We are still in the Arctic FREEZING time...lowest sea ice expected in the Arctic (end of ?) september... Climate collapse = pandemics...Governments do all they can to "hide reality"...Sticking to mistakes the new "normal".... Even "good" scientists go for compromises; base line for pre-industrial 1900-10 year average (because warming would stop ???) ...
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Dutch Josh 2
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Posted: 22 Mar 2025 at 4:35am |
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https://wmo.int/media/news/glacier-melt-will-unleash-avalanche-of-cascading-impacts or https://wmo.int/media/news/glacier-melt-will-unleash-avalanche-of-cascading-impacts ;
Five of the past six years have witnessed the most rapid glacier retreat on record. 2022-2024 witnessed the largest three-year loss of glacier mass on record. In many regions, what used to be called glaciers’ “eternal ice” will not survive the 21st century, according to reports from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS). More than 275,000 glaciers worldwide cover approximately 700,000 km². Together with ice sheets, glaciers store about 70% of the global freshwater resources. High mountain regions are the world’s water towers. Depletion of glaciers therefore threatens supplies to hundreds of millions of people who live downstream and depend on the release of water stored over past winters during the hottest and driest parts of the year. In the short-term, glacier melt increases natural hazards like floods. DJ, Different scenarios not only on the long term but also on "the most extremes" of climate events...On average a glacier could see slow increase of temperature...however only a few days of extreme warmth may do most of the damage in a year/period... In the European Alps between 2000 and 2025 40% of the glaciers ended... High temperatures may de-freeze the ice-glue keeping rocks/mountains together so an increase of rockslides is likely...if those rocks slide into a mountain lake it could even cause further disaster... https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.250.html#bot or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4329.250.html#bot ; Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1) Average remaining extent gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in March 2025 of 13.78 million km2, 0.10 million km2 below the March 2017 record low maximum of 13.88 million km2, which would be 1st lowest in the 47 year satellite record. and Projections. Average remaining Area loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept of 2.35 million km2, 0.11 million km2 above the Sept 2012 record low minimum of 2.25 million km2, and 2nd lowest in the year satellite record. DJ, earlier I posted https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/arctic-blue-ocean-event-2025.html ...So...based on projections for now some indication there will NOT be a B.O.E. this year...(but lots of things can happen...hurricane season may bring surprises/hot air into the Arctic...).
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