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New emerging Monkeypox strain in Congo

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Topic: New emerging Monkeypox strain in Congo
Posted By: Albert
Subject: New emerging Monkeypox strain in Congo
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 11:27am

WHO urges swift response as DRC hit by mutated mpox strain

The spread of mpox in Africa needs to be addressed urgently, the World Health Organization has warned, as more deaths were reported from a mutated strain of the virus in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 

Issued on: 

1 min
A dangerous new strain of mpox is spreading quickly along the eastern border of the DRC, scientists have warned. A dangerous new strain of mpox is spreading quickly along the eastern border of the DRC, scientists have warned.  AFP - BRIAN W.J. MAHY
By: https://www.rfi.fr/en/author/rfi/ - RFI https://x.com/intent/follow?screen_name=RFI_En -
ADVERTISING

Mpox, formerly known as  https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/monkeypox - monkeypox , from the same family as smallpox, causes flu-like symptoms and pus-filled lesions. Most cases are mild but it can also be deadly. 

"There is a critical need to address the recent surge in mpox cases in Africa," Rosamund Lewis, the WHO's technical lead for mpox, told journalists on Tuesday. 

A dangerous new strain of mpox was spreading quickly along the eastern border of the DRC and was "incredibly worrying", scientists warned separately. 

A mutated version of the  https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/about/index.html#:~:text=Clade%20I%20is%20endemic%20to,than%2099.9%%20of%20people%20survive. - clade I  mpox endemic in Congo for decades had fatality rates of around 5 percent in adults and 10 percent in children said biomedical engineer John Claude Udahemuka, who has been working on an outbreak in the hard-to-reach South Kivu province. 




Replies:
Posted By: Albert
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 11:30am

WHO urges swift response as DRC hit by mutated mpox strain

The spread of mpox in Africa needs to be addressed urgently, the World Health Organization has warned, as more deaths were reported from a mutated strain of the virus in the Democratic Republic of Congo

KEY FACTS

In separate briefings Tuesday, global health experts and WHO officials warned a dangerous new strain of mpox was driving an outbreak in the DRC, with cases spread through sexual contact as well as non-sexual contact like touch, which makes it more dangerous and easier to spread.

Mpox, formerly known as monkeypox, is a viral infection rarely seen outside some regions of Africa until it spread across Europe and America in 2022 in an outbreak that was largely driven by sexual contact among gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men, a then-unreported method of transmission.

There are two types of virus that can cause mpox infections—genetically distinguished in groups called clades—which can cause symptoms like fever, chills, fatigue and a characteristic pus filled rash.

It was an offshoot of the milder clade II (two) virus, clade IIb, that was responsible for the global wave of cases in 2022 and 2023.

This outbreak is being driven by a mutated form of  https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/about/index.html#:~:text=The%20Clade%20I%20type%20of,disease%20are%20likely%20to%20survive. - clade I  mpox, clade Ib, that first emerged among sex workers in a DRC mining town in September, a development experts told Forbes was unusual as the virus was only rarely transmitted between people and was typically associated with spillover contact with animals through things like bushmeat.

Experts said the variant spreading in the DRC has a death rate of around 5% in adults and 10% in children and has caused an alarming number of miscarriages among infected pregnant people and John Claude Udahemuka, a lecturer at the University of Rwanda described it as “​​undoubtedly the most dangerous of all the known strains of mpox, considering how it is transmitted, how it is spread” and symptoms.

Trudie Lang, professor of global health and director of the Global Health Network at Oxford University, told Forbes there is “very much” a risk the virus could spread globally in the manner of the 2022 outbreak, stressing it is a “priority” to do research “to establish whether the vaccines and treatments will work.”

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2024/06/26/dangerous-new-mpox-virus-sparks-global-outbreak-fears/?

fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR2St_noK3c8lqKIAfoM_s1bV6l6tkDjlVy3a3mYB_Ynl8U4lR6nVy

QS5Hc_aem_9dvadzR8G79quqdmsDy0yw



Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 12:57pm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#Nomenclature - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#Nomenclature or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#Nomenclature ;

The name monkeypox was originally coined because the disease was first identified in laboratory monkeys. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#cite_note-CDC_About-3 - [3]  This was subsequently criticised as a misnomer, because monkeys are not the main host or reservoir. It was also criticized because the name reinforced stigma about African countries as a source of disease. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#cite_note-pmid35710105-18 - [16]

After requests by a number of public health organisations and scientists, who argued that these issues were harming the fight to contain the disease outbreak, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#cite_note-19 - [17]  the subtypes of monkeypox virus were renamed clade I and clade II in August 2022. The World Health Organization announced in November 2022 that it "will adopt the term mpox in its communications, and encourages others to follow these recommendations". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#cite_note-Who291122-6 - [6]


The DRC=clade 1;
During 2023, a clade I outbreak of mpox disease in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) resulted in 14,626 suspected cases being reported, with 654 associated deaths, making for a case-fatality rate of 4.5%. The outbreak continued into 2024 with an additional 3,576 suspected mpox cases and 265 deaths being reported in the DRC through the first 9 weeks of the year, making for an estimated CFR of 7.4%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox#cite_note-drcmpox-90 - [88]

The https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak# - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak# or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak# ;
2022–23 mpox outbreak
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Monkeypox_By_Country.svg">
Spread of disease as of 14 October 2022
  Endemic clade I
(formerly Congo Basin or Central African clade) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#cite_note-WHOvariants-1 - [1]
  Endemic clade II
(formerly West African clade) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#cite_note-WHOvariants-1 - [1]
  Both clades recorded
  Clade II https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_mpox_outbreak#cite_note-WHOvariants-1 - [1]  outbreak in 2022
  Suspected cases

DJ, Congo clade was #I...West Africa clade #1

CFR for clade #II is higher...


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 1:16pm
https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-mutated-clade-1b-strain-of-mpox-that-is-highly-lethal-causes-global-panic-as-cases-surge-in-congo - https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-mutated-clade-1b-strain-of-mpox-that-is-highly-lethal-causes-global-panic-as-cases-surge-in-congo or https://www.thailandmedical.news/news/new-mutated-clade-1b-strain-of-mpox-that-is-highly-lethal-causes-global-panic-as-cases-surge-in-congo 

The new variant is clade Ib (Mpox)

https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream - https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream -latest;

Congo authorities approve mpox vaccines to try to contain outbreak

​Jun 26, 2024 | 12:45 PM
By Thomson Reuters
By Jennifer Rigby

LONDON (Reuters) – Authorities in the Democratic of Congo have approved the use of two mpox vaccines to try to tackle an upsurge in cases and a dangerous new strain spreading in the country.

Congo has seen 20,000 cases and more than 1,000 deaths from mpox, mainly among children, since the start of last year. ..

This week, the World Health Organization (WHO) and scientists warned of a new, more deadly strain spreading in Congo’s South Kivu province.

The regulator has issued an emergency use authorisation for both Bavarian Nordic’s shot, Jynneos, and LC16, made by KM Biologics, according to documents and sources involved in the process. ...

A WHO spokesperson said the agency is working with the vaccine manufacturers on an approval process. He urged countries to proceed with their own approvals as well as providing the WHO with more data to move the process forward. ...

-
The current outbreak has been driven by sexual transmission but there is evidence this strain can also be passed on through close skin-to-skin contact.
DJ, It is developing to "contact spread" so it may become easier to catch. 

On SMALLPOX;

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#Transmission - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#Transmission or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#Transmission ;

Transmission

Smallpox was highly contagious, but generally spread more slowly and less widely than some other viral diseases, perhaps because transmission required close contact and occurred after the onset of the rash. The overall rate of infection was also affected by the short duration of the infectious stage. In  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temperate - temperate  areas, the number of smallpox infections was highest during the winter and spring. In tropical areas, seasonal variation was less evident and the disease was present throughout the year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-PinkBook-33 - [33]  Age distribution of smallpox infections depended on  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acquired_immunity - acquired immunity .  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccination - Vaccination   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immunity_%28medical%29 - immunity  declined over time and was probably lost within thirty years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-AFIP-34 - [34]  Smallpox was not known to be transmitted by insects or animals and there was no  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asymptomatic_carrier - asymptomatic carrier  state. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-PinkBook-33 - [33]

Transmission occurred through inhalation of  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airborne_disease - airborne  variola virus, usually droplets expressed from the oral, nasal, or  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pharynx - pharyngeal   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mucosa - mucosa  of an infected person. It was transmitted from one person to another primarily through prolonged face-to-face contact with an infected person. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-2012Spread-14 - [14]

Some infections of laundry workers with smallpox after handling contaminated bedding suggested that smallpox could be spread through direct contact with contaminated objects ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fomite - fomites ), but this was found to be rare. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-2012Spread-14 - [14] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-:0-35 - [35]  Also rarely, smallpox was spread by virus carried in the air in enclosed settings such as buildings, buses, and trains. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox#cite_note-FactSheet-32 - [32]  The virus can cross the  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Placenta - placenta , but the incidence of  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Congenital - congenital  smallpox was relatively low.


DJ, Smallpox may hint at how Mpox may develop


Posted By: Albert
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 1:44pm
Originally posted by Dutch Josh Dutch Josh wrote:

DJ, Smallpox may hint at how Mpox may develop


Good point.


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 26 Jun 2024 at 11:33pm
Albert, In general discussion I started "nightmare scenario"...Does CoViD damaging immunity not only open the doors to Mpox -filling a "smallpox gap"...but should we prepare for a multi disease global pandemic ? 

I am NOT any kind of expert-try to avoid a tunnelvision expertism may bring...I do have a limited history background, a brain and a big mouth...In combination with a lap-top this ends up with me being on this forum...


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 27 Jun 2024 at 8:28am
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/coca-call-today-mpox-clinical.html - https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/coca-call-today-mpox-clinical.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/coca-call-today-mpox-clinical.html ;

Later today (2:00 PM – 3:00 PM ET) the CDC will hold a COCA call for clinicians on the continually evolving Mpox threat. The clade IIb outbreak which was  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/07/who-director-declares-monkeypox-public.html - - continue to see sporadic infections  around the globe. 

At the same time a far more dangerous clade I mpox virus continues to rage in the DRC.

Last March a study was published  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/03/eurosurveillance-ongoing-mpox-outbreak.html - , which contained the first genomic analysis of samples from a previously unaffected region of the DRC (the city of Kamituga). 

That study revealed a novel clade I sub-linage had emerged - most likely from a zoonotic introduction - with changes that may render current CDC tests unreliable.

In April, in  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/04/preprint-sustained-human-outbreak-of.html - Preprint: Sustained Human Outbreak of a New MPXV Clade I Lineage in Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo , we saw a further analysis, which called for this new lineage to be named Clade Ib, and warned of its potential to spread globally. 

While that doesn't appear to have happened (yet), doctors are being asked to be particularly alert for cases with recent travel history to the DRC. 

DJ, for more (link)info see above link. 

A march 15 link;
https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/veterinarian/mpox-in-animals.html - https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/veterinarian/mpox-in-animals.html or https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/veterinarian/mpox-in-animals.html ;

Mpox is a  https://www.cdc.gov/onehealth/basics/zoonotic-diseases.html - zoonotic disease , which means it can spread between animals and people. The exact source of mpox in nature is not known, but it is believed that small mammals, such as rope and sun squirrels, giant-pouched rats, and African dormice may carry the virus in parts of West and Central Africa.

People can get infected with the virus through direct contact with infected animals, often while hunting, trapping, and processing infected animals or their body parts and fluids. Small mammals can carry the virus without symptoms, while non-human primates like monkeys can get sick with mpox and have signs of disease like humans.

What We Know About Mpox in Animals

  • Monkeypox virus can infect a wide range of mammal species, including monkeys, anteaters, hedgehogs, prairie dogs, squirrels, and shrews.
  • We are still learning which species of animals can get infected with Monkeypox virus. While we do not know if reptiles, amphibians, or birds can get mpox, it is unlikely since these animals have not been found to be infected with other orthopoxviruses.
  • Not all animals have a rash when they have mpox.
  • Infected animals can spread Monkeypox virus to people and other animals, and it is possible that people who are infected can spread Monkeypox virus to animals through close contact.
  • Monkeypox virus can be found in the rash caused by mpox (scabs, crusts, fluids) and infected body fluids, including respiratory secretions, and potentially in urine (pee) and feces (poop).

What We Know About Mpox in Pets

  • We don’t know for sure if pets like dogs and cats can be infected with Monkeypox virus, but it may be possible.
  • People with mpox could possibly spread the virus to pets through close contact, including petting, cuddling, hugging, kissing, licking, sharing sleeping areas, and sharing food.

No pets or other animals were confirmed to have mpox during the global mpox outbreak that began in 2022.



Both CoViD and H5/flu is widespread in mammals and because of that hard (if not impossible) to control.  Mpox may spread in new animal hosts. 

https://www.britannica.com/science/pox-disease - https://www.britannica.com/science/pox-disease or https://www.britannica.com/science/pox-disease ;
Examples of pox diseases include sheep pox, horse pox, fowl pox,  https://www.britannica.com/science/cowpox - cowpox , goat pox, and swine pox.

DJ, now it may not all be the same type(s) of pox viruses...it is very likely a more agressive Mpox-virus will find spread in non-human hosts. (Animals eating infected animals-or "droppings" of it...). 

We have to be on top of this NOW !


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 27 Jun 2024 at 8:40am
https://x.com/richardhirschs1 -
https://x.com/richardhirschs1 -
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✴️ https://x.com/hashtag/MPOX?src=hashtag_click - #MPOX clade 1b is coming our way. ✴️ https://x.com/hashtag/TPOXX?src=hashtag_click - #TPOXX Is the only treatment ✴️ https://x.com/hashtag/Jynnios?src=hashtag_click - #Jynnios is the best vaccination ✴️We could have eradicate this in DRC. But we provided no redirects to do this. Now it may be too late. ✴️Now we will need to reintroduce a https://x.com/hashtag/POX?src=hashtag_click - #POX vaccine into the childhood https://x.com/hashtag/vaccination?src=hashtag_click - #vaccination schedule. https://x.com/hashtag/pandemic?src=hashtag_click - #pandemic

-

https://x.com/RickABright">
https://x.com/RickABright -
https://x.com/RickABright -
< aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;">
This is a real concern. One major gap is lack of rapid POC diagnostic tests able to distinguish clade 1 from clade 2. It makes a difference. I agree it’s important to contain the outbreak, stopping it from spreading regionally or globally. Many efforts have been made to donate & distribute vaccine. It’s not a lack of will or effort by the USG. Other issues & challenges, outside the U.S., have delayed access. These need to be addressed to stop the spread.

-
https://x.com/mdc_martinus -
https://x.com/mdc_martinus -
< aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="menu" aria-label="More" role="" ="-175oi2r r-1777fci r-bt1l66 r-bztko3 r-lrvibr r-1loqt21 r-1ny4l3l" -testid="caret" ="" style="text-align: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-family: inherit; align-items: stretch; border-width: 0px; border-style: solid; border-color: black; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 20px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; : relative; : 0; overflow: ; justify-: center; cursor: pointer; outline-style: none; user-: none;">
Apparently the
https://x.com/WHO - @WHO
monitors rumours and misinformation on mpox. A key finding: “there have been discussions around transmission reiterating (…) the rumour that "monkeypox is airborne"” Also
https://x.com/WHO - @WHO
: “Examples of pathogens that spread via airborne transmission: monkeypox virus”🤔
-
Maarten De Cock
@mdc_martinus
·
When a respiratory virus (yes, the monkeypox / mpox virus is a respiratory virus) is spreading in schools and workplaces ánd “appears to be spreading fast”, then public health and authorities should be honest and inform the public that it can also spread throuh the air. x.com/birdiebittern/…

DJ...so indications for the clade Ib Mpox spreading "too fast" to consider it just to go via contact ? And WHO may go for "panic control" ? 




Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 29 Jun 2024 at 1:19am
https://x.com/CoronaHeadsUp -
https://x.com/CoronaHeadsUp -
·
https://x.com/CoronaHeadsUp/status/1806747004359324151 -
UK: Unused PPE worth £1.4bn was 'stored inappropriately' £1.4bn-worth of aprons, masks and goggles, which were fully compliant and delivered in good order, have been incinerated, recycled or written off awaiting disposal. BBC News

The above UK news may best describe how we are dealing with a sharp increase of all kinds of diseases..."look the other way"....

Up to 50-60% of CoViD spread is from persons without symptoms...A/mild-symptomatic spread may be a major factor for H5N1 and maybe even for M-pox....
https://x.com/thijskuiken -
https://x.com/HelenBranswell">
https://x.com/HelenBranswell">
Helen Branswell 🇨🇦
https://x.com/HelenBranswell -
·
https://x.com/HelenBranswell/status/1805602272560226654 -
.
https://x.com/USDA - @USDA
has fixed some missing data in its list of https://x.com/hashtag/H5N1?src=hashtag_click - #H5N1 https://x.com/hashtag/birdflu?src=hashtag_click - #birdflu affected dairy herds. Alpacas are back, as are some Texas herds that dropped off temporarily. 4 herds — 2 each from Colorado & Iowa — haven't yet made it to the USDA list. https://t.co/2BioBG0wUw -
https://x.com/thijskuiken -
https://x.com/OceanTerra">
https://x.com/OceanTerra">
Dr Sam Burgess 🌍🌡🛰
https://x.com/OceanTerra -
·
https://x.com/OceanTerra/status/1798361681434939843 -
“We are playing Russian roulette with our planet,” said UN Secretary-General António Guterres. “We need an exit ramp off the highway to climate hell. Powerful speech on https://x.com/hashtag/WorldEnvironmentDay%E2%80%8C?src=hashtag_click - #WorldEnvironmentDay‌ Warmest 12 months on record 💙🤍💙💛🧡❤️💔 https://x.com/hashtag/ClimateAction?src=hashtag_click - #ClimateAction


Climate, pandemics....it is so much better to spend trillions on wars ! 

https://x.com/RickABright -
https://x.com/RickABright -
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Yes! Finally a breakthrough on https://x.com/hashtag/MPox?src=hashtag_click - #MPox vaccine access to DRC. US has been trying to donate vaccine for many months. It sounds like process finally opened. Hoping this means vaccine will be available to people in DRC & region soon. H/t to all making this happen.
https://x.com/WHOSTP - @WHOSTP
https://x.com/cyrusshahpar46 - @cyrusshahpar46

The "vaccines will save us-pseudo religion"-ignoring CoViD did develop around vaccine/natural immunity...At best vaccines-if payable-can be part of the answer...

Climate, overpopulation, bad healthcare, keeping billions of people poor are underlying problems...Another few billion to Big Pharma shareholders is NOT the answer we need !


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 30 Jun 2024 at 1:48am
Trying to get a basic idea of the seize of the Mpox-problem;
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream - https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/984668-drc-mpox-monkeypox-outbreak-2024?view=stream -latest;

https://flutrackers.com/forum/member/28399-mary-wilson">Mary Wilson
https://flutrackers.com/forum/member/28399-mary-wilson - Mary Wilson  replied
Congo authorities approve mpox vaccines to try to contain outbreak

​Jun 26, 2024 | 12:45 PM
By Thomson Reuters
By Jennifer Rigby

LONDON (Reuters) – Authorities in the Democratic of Congo have approved the use of two mpox vaccines to try to tackle an upsurge in cases and a dangerous new strain spreading in the country.

Congo has seen 20,000 cases and more than 1,000 deaths from mpox, mainly among children, since the start of last year. ..

This week, the World Health Organization (WHO) and scientists warned of a new, more deadly strain spreading in Congo’s South Kivu province.

The regulator has issued an emergency use authorisation for both Bavarian Nordic’s shot, Jynneos, and LC16, made by KM Biologics, according to docum

-DJ-So Democratic Republic of Congo since 1-1-2023 did see 20,000+ Mpox cases, 1,000+ deaths-mainly under children (so very likely not sexually transmitted). 

https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/990497-south-africa-2024-mpox?view=stream - https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/990497-south-africa-2024-mpox?view=stream or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/africa-ac/monkeypox/990497-south-africa-2024-mpox?view=stream latest;

Source:  https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-06-26-south-africas-mpox-outbreak-death-toll-rises-to-three-16-cases-confirmed/ - https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/arti...ses-confirmed/

South Africa’s mpox outbreak death toll rises to three, 16 cases confirmed
By Naledi Sikhakhane
26 Jun 2024

Also Reunion, Republic of Congo, Central African Republic did detect cases in the last months...with a lot of cases missed !

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox_in_the_Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo#2023-2024_outbreak - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox_in_the_Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo#2023-2024_outbreak or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox_in_the_Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo#2023-2024_outbreak ;

During 2023, a Clade I outbreak of mpox disease in the DRC resulted in 14,626 suspected cases being reported, with 654 associated deaths, making for a case-fatality rate (CFR) of 4.5%. The outbreak continued into 2024 with an additional 3,576 suspected mpox cases and 265 deaths being reported in the DRC through the first 9 weeks of the year, making for an estimated CFR of 7.4%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox_in_the_Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo#cite_note-drcmpox-17 - [17]

The outbreak appears to be of a primarily sexually transmitted nature and cases are occurring in areas without a history of mpox, such as South Kivu and Kinshasa. The outbreak seems to consist of two separate sub-variants of clade I, with one of the sub-variants having a novel mutation making detection with standard assays unreliable. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mpox_in_the_Democratic_Republic_of_the_Congo#cite_note-drcmpox-17 - [17]

The outbreak spread to the neighbouring country of the  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Congo - Republic of Congo , with 43 mpox cases being reported in March 2024.


DJ, Most deaths are in children...so "spread-by-sex" may be a "western primitive view"....Aerosol/droplet contact spread may be more realistic-however unwanted...alarming, inconveniant...


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 01 Jul 2024 at 6:57am
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/who-multi-country-outbreak-of-mpox.html - https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/who-multi-country-outbreak-of-mpox.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/who-multi-country-outbreak-of-mpox.html ;

Last week the CDC held a  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/06/coca-call-today-mpox-clinical.html - COCA Call : Mpox - Clinical Management & Outbreaks , as reports of sporadic infections (clade IIb) continue across the nation (see CBS News https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/san-francisco-monitor-rise-domestic-mpox-cases-global-outbreak/ -  S.F. officials monitor rise in domestic mpox cases as global outbreak spreads)

At the same time a far more dangerous clade I mpox virus continues to rage in the DRC, which over the past 18 months has been blamed for more than 20,000 suspected mpox cases and more than 1,000 deaths.

The changing epidemiology and genetic evolution of mpox clade I in central Africa has sparked a number of risks assessments over the past six months, including:
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/cdc-han-advisory-00501-mpox-caused-by-h.html - CDC HAN Advisory #00501: Mpox Caused by H-2-H Transmission with Geographic Spread in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2023/12/ecdc-risk-assessment-on-transmission.html - ECDC Risk Assessment On Transmission & Spread of Clade I Mpox From The DRC
Last March a study was published  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/03/eurosurveillance-ongoing-mpox-outbreak.html - , describing the first genomic analysis of samples from a previously unaffected region of the DRC (the city of Kamituga). 

That study revealed a novel clade I sub-linage had emerged - most likely from a zoonotic introduction - with changes that may render current CDC tests unreliable.

A month later, in  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/04/preprint-sustained-human-outbreak-of.html - Preprint: Sustained Human Outbreak of a New MPXV Clade I Lineage in Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo , we saw a further analysis, which called for this new lineage to be named Clade Iband warned of its potential to spread globally.  

While that doesn't appear to have happened yet (based on limited reporting), we have been watching the incursion of Mpox into new regions, including a spike in cases recently reported in South Africa. 

As we've  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/12/flying-blind-in-viral-storm.html - seen with COVID, and other infectious disease reporting  around the globe, surveillance and reporting on Mpox is often limited, or sometimes missing entirely.  The WHO describes this situation below:

WHO continues to encourage all countries to ensure that mpox is a notifiable disease and to report mpox cases, including reporting when no cases have been detected (known as ‘zero-reporting’, as outlined in the Standing Recommendations on mpox issued by the WHO Director General).

This report does not highlight non-reporting countries. Therefore, it should be noted that an absence of reported cases from a country may be due to the country not reporting, rather than having no cases. Reporting to WHO has been declining, therefore, the decline in reported cases should be interpreted with caution.    

-

Report highlights
  • In May 2024, a total of 646 new laboratory-confirmed cases of mpox and 15 deaths were reported to WHO from 26 countries, illustrating continuing transmission of mpox across the world. The most affected WHO regions, ordered by number of laboratory-confirmed cases, were the African Region, the European Region, the Region of the Americas, the Western Pacific Region and the South-East Asia Region. The Eastern Mediterranean region did not report any cases in May 2024.
  • As reporting from countries to WHO has been declining, the current reported global data most likely underestimate the actual number of mpox cases.
  • Within the African Region, the Democratic Republic of the Congo reported most (99%) of the confirmed mpox cases in the reporting month. With limited access to testing in rural areas, 18% of clinically compatible (reported as suspected) cases in the country are tested, therefore the confirmed case counts are underestimates of the true burden.
-

Nearly every  https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news - WHO DON  or disease Situation Report contains diplomatic reminders to member nations of their `duty to report' these types of cases under the IHR 2005 agreement, but compliance remains spotty at best. 

Increasingly, the `political' solution to the rise of inconvenient emerging infectious diseases - like Mpox, COVID, MERS-CoV, and novel influenza - is to limit testing, surveillance, and the reporting of cases, and even deaths.  

Like asking your doctor to `touch up your X-rays', this is a strategy that only works for the short term. 

DJ...So-yes-lots of countries failing to even do the basics to avoid pandemics...(I am not going that crazy...)


Posted By: Dutch Josh
Date Posted: 03 Jul 2024 at 1:59am
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/07/biomedicines-re-emergence-of-mpox-old.html - https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/07/biomedicines-re-emergence-of-mpox-old.html or https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/07/biomedicines-re-emergence-of-mpox-old.html ;

While much of the world expressed surprise when a clade IIb Mpox (then called Monkeypox) virus began its world tour in the spring of 2022, experts had been warning for years it was not only possiblebut increasingly likely

Cautionary reports published between 2020 and early 2022 include:
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/02/plos-ntd-changing-epidemiology-of-human.html -

https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2022/02/plos-ntd-changing-epidemiology-of-human.html - PLoS NTD: The Changing Epidemiology of Human Monkeypox—A potential threat?

https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2021/02/eid-journal-reemergence-of-human.html - EID Journal: Reemergence of Human Monkeypox and Declining Population Immunity - Nigeria, 2017–2020

https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2020/08/who-modelling-human-to-human.html - WHO: Modelling Human-to-Human Transmission of Monkeypox
https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2020/08/who-modelling-human-to-human.html -

While largely ignored, 2 distinct clades of Mpox (I & II) had been spreading across central Africa for decades, mostly in a handful of endemic countries (clade I primarily in the DRC & CAR), with  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2018/03/mmwr-emergence-of-monkeypox-west-and.html - a weaker clade II virus re-emerging in Nigeria  after an absence of 40 years in 2017


DJ...no "lab-leak-non-sense" needed ! Very UNwelcome anti-science !

Luckily, it has been the far less-dangerous Clade IIb that has been spreading internationally for the past 2 years.  Deaths have only rarely (< 2%)  https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/mpox/response/2022/world-map.html - been reported . 

But we've seen recent increases in the spread of the more pathogenic clade I virus in the DRC, including the emergence of a new, and apparently more transmissible, clade Ib virus (see  https://afludiary.blogspot.com/2024/03/eurosurveillance-ongoing-mpox-outbreak.html - Eurosurveillance: Ongoing Mpox Outbreak in South Kivu Province, DRC Associated With a Novel Clade I Sub-lineage ).

While the future course and impact of Mpox is unknowable, there are growing concerns that clade Ib might follow in the footsteps of clade IIb - or worse - clade I could evolve into an even more formidable virus before breaking out of Central Africa. 

The Mpox virus (MPXV) is known to cause zoonotic disease in humans. The virus belongs to the genus Orthopoxvirus, of the family Poxviridae, and was first reported in monkeys in 1959 in Denmark and in humans in 1970 in the Congo. MPXV first appeared in the U.S. in 2003, re-emerged in 2017, and spread globally within a few years. Wild African rodents are thought to be the reservoir of MPXV. The exotic trade of animals and international travel can contribute to the spread of the Mpox virus. A phylogenetic analysis of MPXV revealed two distinct clades (Central African clade and West African clade).

The smallpox vaccine shows cross-protection against MPXV infections in humans. Those who have not previously been exposed to Orthopoxvirus infections are more vulnerable to MPXV infections. Clinical manifestations in humans include fever, muscle pain, headache, and vesicle formation on the skin of infected individuals. Pathognomonic lesions include ballooning degenerations with Guarnieri-like inclusions in vesicular epithelial cells.

Alterations in viral genome through genetic mutations might favor the re-emergence of a version of MPXV with enhanced virulence. As of November 2023, 92,783 cases and 171 deaths have been reported in 116 countries, representing a global public health concern. Here, we provide insights on the re-emergence of MPXV in humans. 

This review covers the origin, emergence, re-emergence, transmission, pathology, diagnosis, control measures, and immunomodulation of the virus, as well as clinical manifestations. Concerted efforts of health professionals and scientists are needed to prevent the disease and stop its transmission in vulnerable populations.
DJ, Time to restart a sort of (M)pox vaccination ? 

But another aspect is travel...diseases travel for free !
Testing has its limits...for climate reasons less travel also would be welcome...



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