DJ, From minute 19;

-UKraine frontline western weapons got locked in...bridges to the west blown up by Russian strikes. So western provided weapons...hundreds of them...left behind or destroyed...

-UKraine now transporting by rail strategic reserves from west UKraine...UKraine trainsystem using the old Russian/Soviet rail width...so west European trains can not use UKraine rails...Most of UKraine rails was electric...but electric grid is destroyed...90% of capacity is gone...

-Russia now destroying western train loads of tanks, weapons...

-UKraine seems to be that desperate; if 40-50% of weapons reach frontlines they will run the risk...

In the recent past UKraine accepted 70% losses in "offensives"...So 7 out of 10 fighters getting killed to get some (often PR) "win"...

-If possible UKraine still shelling/bombing civilian Russian targets...further wasting western-limited-supplies...

DJ-The US did stop patriot-air defense on route to USrael to be send to UKraine...Russia now shooting down patriot missiles...

UKraine "new fighters" may be "very young" or 60+ ....often refusing to go on (suicide) offensives...

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UKraine in a military sense is now collapsing...Even if "the west" would send "boots on the ground" it may not change the outcome...

Money meant to build defensive lines was "gone" because of corruption...Very likely quite a lot of western weapons also went on the criminal market...

So the war that can not fail is failing....

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Russia very likely is NOT interested in taking over ALL of UKraine...Russian background civilians live in the south and east...Also economic value (mining, industry, ports) in those regions...

So Odessa, Charkow will become Russian...just like most of the south and east of UKraine by now is already under Russian "Novo Rossia/New Russia" control...

My view; Poland, Hungary, Romania may have been in contact over their gains in the region...Some parts of western UKraine may be returned to Poland-restoring a 1939 border...Hungary may get a small part east of their border...Moldova (and Snake-Island) return to Romania ? 

In return those countries may "need to change policies"...

DJ-The EU promissed a lot to get eastern Europe into the EU...However it did not deliver that much...and the price is getting to high...

Baltic States have the Baltic Sea-Finland link...However the Balkan are Slavic people-in many ways more linked with Russian/Slavic/Orthodox culture...

NATO again is losing major wars...western economies are collapsing...So why should SE Europe stick to "the west/EU/NATO ? 

DJ-Is BRICS+ working on its own deal for SE Europe ? Discussing what to do with (parts of) UKraine, Moldova...with Serbia, Hungary...maybe even Romania, Poland, Greece ????

-For SE Europe the USrael conflict is near their borders...Escalation may see Cyprus, maybe even Türkiye involved.

The refugee crisis is an outcome of NATO wars...

IF (!!!!) Türkiye "distances" itself even more from NATO (maybe a NATO member in name only...) it will influence the south of Europe...Even Italy, France...Spain may "move"...