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Topic - Climate
Posted: 13 Sep 2024 at 11:04pm By Dutch Josh 2
DJ-This weekend Central Europe may get the amount of rain it -in a "normal year" gets in 4 months...

https://www.estofex.org/  or https://www.estofex.org/ ;
A level 2 was issued across NE Czechia, NW Slovakia and S-central Poland mainly for heavy convective rainfall.

A level 1 was issued across NW Austria, E Czechia and Slovakia mainly for heavy convective rainfall.

A level 2 was issued across Moldova, Ukraine and E Poland mainly for heavy rainfall and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued across Romania and NE Poland mainly for heavy rainfall and to the lesser degree for tornadoes.

DISCUSSION

Deep low pressure system continues to affect much of central Europe with very heavy rainfall and also severe wind gusts.

***NOTE*** This forecast only covers the contribution of CONVECTION to severe weather. Non-convective rainfall and non-convective wind gusts are NOT covered. Please refer to the warnings of the national weather institutes for more information on these hazards.


Also; https://www.dw.com/en/europe-extreme-weather-warnings-in-germany-poland-austria/a-70206609 or https://www.dw.com/en/europe-extreme-weather-warnings-in-germany-poland-austria/a-70206609 ;

Large parts of central Europe are bracing for potential flooding this weekend with heavy rainfall expected across parts of Poland, Germany, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Austria.

Up to 400 mm of rain is expected to fall on the highlands on the Polish-Czech border within just 72 hours, according to local meteorological stations, with consequences for surrounding regions and nearby towns and cities.

In Poland, authorities have issued their highest weather warning in the southern voivodeships — or regions — of Lower Silesia, Opole and Silesia, while the mayor of the city of Wroclaw has convened a crisis committee. In 1997, a third of Wroclaw was flooded when the River Oder burst its banks.

"There is a realistic risk of local inundations from Friday to Sunday," said the Polish weather service.


DJ, A.o. Weather Watcher on YouTube doing a very good job by warning in time...

Lots of places get extreme weather. However if on top of the extreme weather there is also a lot of (longer term)  economic damage the disaster even gets larger...

The extreme rain will be in higher laying area's-wich will translate into high river levels-most likely a.o. the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danube or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danube ...so flooding could go on down river for over a week...
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/024234.shtml?cone#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/024234.shtml?cone#contents 
"Gordon" may stay over the Atlantic-may not even become a hurricane...however https://www.ventusky.com/?p=35;-9;1&l=gust or https://www.ventusky.com/?p=35;-9;1&l=gust may indicate "Gordon" can become part of a list of depressions moving hot air to the Arctic...
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SE Asia dealing with typhones, South America with wild fires...
DJ-Climate collapse IS translating into all kinds of crazy weather...from extreme drought-in areas not used to it ...to flooding in the Sahara...

We ARE in a global climate disaster..."politics" again going for denial, kicking cans down the road-now have to face a brutal reality...

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4176.1100.html#lastPost or https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,4176.1100.html#lastPost A discussion on if the Arctic melting summer season ended...

DJ-With lots of storms moving north it may be hard to predict...the lowest (sea)ice level tends to move towards october...Also ice/snow on Greenland, Canada, Siberia  may face "bizarre months"...Possibly even "hot days" in november, december...

AGAIN-Polar ice is cooling the planet...the less ice the hotter the planet gets...

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