Post Reply - Climate

Copernicus EU
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Svalbard, a Norwegian archipelago in the Arctic Ocean, has been severely affected by a prolonged heat wave during the summer of 2024. 
Data from the Norwegian Centre for Data Service show that four observation stations in Svalbard recorded record-high average summer temperatures, with anomalies up to 3.0°C above normal. 
Svalbard Airport, located at 78.14°N, recorded an average summer temperature of 8.5°C, setting a new record for the third year in a row. August 2024 was particularly extreme, with an unprecedented average temperature of 11.0°C, illustrating the severity of the heatwave. 
This image, acquired on 28 August 2024, documents the effects of the heatwave, revealing large areas of glaciers around Longyearbyen without snow cover. The absence of snow accelerates the rapid melting of the ice, resulting in the massive sediment discharge seen in the island's coastal areas. 
Our satellites play a crucial role in monitoring glaciers around the world, providing key information to help researchers evaluate the impact of climate change on the cryosphere.

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https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/cataclysmic-alignment-threatens-climate-catastrophe.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/cataclysmic-alignment-threatens-climate-catastrophe.html;

In a cataclysmic alignment, the next El Niño threatens to develop while sunspots are higher than expected. Sunspots are expected to reach a peak in the current cycle in July 2025.
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High sunspots could line up with an upcoming El Niño and with further forcing by short-term variables, in a cataclysmic alignment that could push up the temperature enough to cause dramatic sea ice loss in the Arctic, resulting in runaway temperature rise by 2026.
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This - in combination with further events, developments and short-term variables - could constitute a cataclysmic alignment that could result in runaway temperature rise by 2026, as an earlier post concluded. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño could make a difference of more than 0.5°C. Sunspots could make a difference of more than 0.25°C. Further forcing could be added by additional events, e.g. submarine volcano eruptions could add huge amounts of water vapor to the atmosphere.

DJ, So more sunspots and a strong-new-el nino could push temperatures up 0,75C on top of the 2,75C rise since 1700-1750....

"Politicians-for-sale" may put the base-line for pre-industrial at 2000 to stick to their lie of "still under 1,5C" ....

Climate & pandemics are very interlinked and both getting much worse much faster....The present "politicians" go for denial...NOT solutions...

DJ-I again am NOT any kind of expert; but ignoring problems most of the time results in problems getting worse...Since both climate and pandemics are global issues of fundamental importance-and politics goes for war-human survival is at risk...