Post Reply - H2H-H5N1 spread in US

Rick Bright
@RickABright
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Very sad news, if confirmed, of another human infection of #H5N1 virus. Good news that @CDCFlu
 & @CDPHE
 are working very closely; seems human cases are being detected, treated, & confirmed quickly, along w/ rapid communication. Hate to see more cases, but relieved to see collaboration, coordination, & communication happening. Hoping the best for those directly affected. 

H/t federal, state, & local partnership in Colorado
-
MAH reposted
Dr David Berger, aBsuRdiSTe cROnickLeR
@YouAreLobbyLud
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Twice a year forever. Well done, humans, for allowing a completely new genre of infectious disease to circulate and cause death, disability and havoc forever more, while also playing roulette with the likelihood of mutation to higher lethality. You aced it!

DJ, Why H5N1 will spread further in humans ?

1-CoViD also increasing=less immunity protection
2-The H5N1 cattle-poultry variant will end up in other species around the farms
3-Very likely the confirmed/tested cases only tip of the iceberg
4-Lots of (at first) asymptomatic/mild cases...still spreading it...

DJ-Stories of earlier spread among farmworkers have been ignored "saving the economy"...And YES an economy, food supply is important ! 

But by now we also may have to give up the idea we can get H5N1 human spread under control...Like CoViD, Mpox "the news" will be under control...

H5N1 is NOT "just" a US problem...it must be spread wider but testing & reporting may be even worse in a few other countries...

The "US human variant" of H5N1 has been CDC confirmed in 13 humans (10 of them from Colorado). If the idea 4-to-15 times the number of confirmed cases may be missed then ;

4x13=52 + 13 confirmed =65 cases
15x13=195+13 confirmed would be 208 cases...

So H5N1 human cases -for now- mostly linked to cattle-poultry-human spread...Indications for Human-to-human (H2H) spread "anecdotal"...but even in the most optimistic scenario just a matter of time...