https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BhE_wg_Cu4o or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BhE_wg_Cu4o ;
20% of the Territories De Facto in Exchange for 100% Peace De Jure๐โ๏ธ๐๏ธ Military Summary 2025.04.22
DJ, My view; The US/trump does no longer want to be involved in the UKraine war. So "the trump-team" is trying to find a way out. UK/EU find it very hard to swallow they invested tens-of-billions into another US war-and the US -again- walking away from it...
Russia is "winning" on the battlefield-but may have seen close to 100,000 military killed...UKraine losses may be close to 1 million.
So far a lot of "western ideas" for ending the UKraine war may be linked to the Minsk-plans-the west did break...(by arming UKraine-in preparation to including UKraine in NATO). Russia is "not interested"...
"Real-politik" may offer another option;
-There may be "peace keepers" in UKraine-maybe in part from NATO members however most of them from Asia/BRICS+...
-NATO can "move east" by moving the borders from Poland, Hungary, Romania east...The west of UKraine as a payment for western "help" and an end to the war...
-Russia will take "what it wants" in UKraine; Dnjepr-river/Odessa/Kherson...
-What remains of UKraine may be allowed into the EU...but has to demilitarize to have some finance left for rebuilding...and stays out of NATO (like Austria, Ireland are non-NATO EU members).
-Maybe even Finland, Sweden may be asked to "give up" on NATO membership. Baltic states de-militarized NATO members...
-EU may work with BRICS+ on rebuilding UKraine (the EU may welcome Russia paying for that)...a project for the coming decades with costs in the trillions...
It is "the west" that may start realizing the -in fact- are losing a lot in the present conflicts. Continuation of those conflicts is unaffordable-both in finance, human costs and public support...
To claim "some sort of NATO victory" Poland-Hungary/Slovakia-Romania may "move borders". Moldova joining Romania (again) ?
For UKraine/zelenski these ideas are totally unacceptable...however his alternative of keeping the war going on for years is unacceptable for "the west"...so UKraine may have to swallow this-see EU membership/BRICS+ support for rebuilding as best possible option...
UKraine may decide NOT to accept this kind of a deal-however western support soon will end...Other alternatives may be even more hard to swallow (Russian occupation-again...).
De-militarization "saves a lot of costs" with international security guarantees as long as UKraine stays neutral-out of NATO.
De-nazification is another matter. Part of the nazification is in "ultra nationalism"...an old problem in Eastern/Central Europe. So maybe Russia has to accept Ukrainian as the national language in (what remains of) UKraine...Room for an Ukraine-identity (like a Russian, Kurdish, Basque, Frisian, Irish identity...).
The UKraine war is a burden for Russia, the worst war since 1941-45...