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Topic - WAR Posted: 16 hours 9 minutes ago at 12:49am By Dutch Josh 2 |
DJ-my (non expert) view on trump-tariffs;
-It will further increase de-dollar-ization...decrease trade with the US (also import from the US-because US products get even more expensive). -It is strengthening BRICS+/SCO Eur-Asia-Africa trade. About 85-90% of the global population lives in that "region" (including Australia/New Zealand). A lot of trade can go (high speed) over land. A major problem could be in trade agreements-NOT in currencies ! For a lot of countries using their own currency is a bonus...strengthening that currency... -India-China trade still is "limited"-but may grow "explosively"...In part because ASEAN joined BRICS+ and may go as "go-between". Malaysia, Indonesia are also main oil/energy exporters with a growing production sector... --- DJ-So the US capacity to finance more war decreased because of the trump-tariffs... The US increased conflicts with lots of countries (even Vietnam, Ethiopia etc...). The US is getting (even) more isolated... Another trump-insanity is "drill-drill-drill"-with renewable energy worldwide by now far cheaper then fossil energy...A re-industrialized US may produce products other countries will not buy...(US cars did not meet China enviromental rules...). Electric airplanes are just around the corner. More clean and silent-fitting in a more urban eviroment a lot of major international airports by now are part of... Both the EU and NATO have "strong powers" for self preservation. However both organizations may shift to other goals. -The EU may look for Eur-Asian-African markets, increase trade with Canada/Latin America. This will increase the global role of the Euro/€ as an alternative for the US$ in international trade... In many ways-I think-a "weak/divided EU"- is far more flexible then a "strong US". It may be "hard" to weaponize the Euro... -NATO could play a welcome !!! role in disaster relief...Getting heavy machinery to global disaster zones with young, fit, people willing to give their lives to save others...not kill others ! So-on the longer run-a smaller role for a "blind capitalsim US" may give room for more government-companis-balanced globalism...Profits can be a stimulus...A rich elite buying the government is VERY UNWELCOME ! --- In UKraine "the west" finds itself in a worsening position...USrael can keep terrorizing West Asia...but at the end both wars are self destructive for "the west+ proxies"... Putin-Russia wants realistic agreements on mutual security more then anything else...Very likely it could give up (heavy damaged) UKraine if there is a realistic global security agreement. NATO in another role-less defense, more providing help, could be a step in that direction-and towards a "better world"... - If US-rael goes for more wars to stop BRICS+ the "strategic basis" -in part of trump his economic war-is getting very small... Not selling oil, uranium etc. to the US (US needs some sorts of oil etc. to be imported) could further "limit" any more war plans... The multi-polar world is replacing US-uni-polar dominance... |