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Post Reply - H5N1/flu (other types)


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Topic - H5N1/flu (other types)
Posted: 13 Jul 2024 at 10:11pm By Dutch Josh
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1#Human_cases or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1#Human_cases - good overview;

2003 China 1 case, Vietnam 3 cases of (Human) H5N1-all died-CFR (based on tested patients) was 100%...

2024 Australia 1 (imported) case, Cambodia 7, US also 7 reported,tested H5N1 human cases...Vietnam 1. Only 1 Cambodian died...(makes CFR 1 in 16 of this list...12,5%)

However Colorado now has 55 cases of poultry farm workers involved in culling infected poultry...All those 55 have symptoms...(eye, respitory-in general mild)...

In 2015 Egypt had 136 reported cases, 9 other cases (total 145) 42 cases/infected persons died...

In 2006 worldwide 115 cases reported (55 from Indonesia) 79 died (CFR 68,7%)

For 2024 the Australian child with H5N1 would have imported it from India. SE Asia has 8 cases...if indeed the US now has dozens of cases one may see "a global problem"...

However NOT all H5N1 types are the same...several subtypes...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1#Timeline or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_spread_of_H5N1#Timeline 

and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%932024_H5N1_outbreak or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%932024_H5N1_outbreak 

DJ-CoViD "is opening doors" for more spread of H5N1...however CFR likely is "low" (just above "normal" flu ? ) -at least for now...

Risks are;
-The virus mutates into a more dangerous variant
-Flu-Rona co-infection resulting in more serious healthissues
-Healthcare overrun...even mild infections become problematic...

DJ-I am NOT any kind of expert-just trying to make some sense...

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