PANDEMIC ALERT LEVEL |
123456 |
Mpox Discussion Forum: Latest News & Information Regarding the Clade 1b Mpox Virus |
Post Reply - Climate collapse |
Post Reply |
Message |
Topic - Climate collapse Posted: 10 Dec 2024 at 12:14am By Dutch Josh 2 |
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/12/did-a-terminal-temperature-acceleration-event-start-in-december-2024.html or https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/12/did-a-terminal-temperature-acceleration-event-start-in-december-2024.html ;
Did a Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event start in December 2024?The red dots in the above image are Copernicus ERA5 global daily mean near-surface (2m) air temperature anomalies Dec. 13, 2022 through Dec. 7, 2024, compared to a 1991-2020 base (left vertical axis) and a 1901-1930 base (right vertical axis). The shading indicates El Niño (June 2023 up to May 2024, pink), surrounded by ENSO-neutral conditions and a short, weak La Niña (all blue). Two trends are added based on these data (red dots). The linear trend (black) shows a steady, rapid rise. The non-linear trend (red) better follows variations such as El Niño and sunspots, and it indicates that a Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event may have started in December 2024 (in the area with the grey shading). - Mechanisms behind accelerated temperature rise Recent research led by Helge Goessling suggests that global warming itself is reducing the number of low clouds, resulting in less sunlight getting reflected back into space. “If a large part of the decline in albedo is indeed due to feedbacks between global warming and low clouds, as some climate models indicate, we should expect rather intense warming in the future,” Helge Goessling warns. A Terminal Temperature Acceleration Event could be occur soon due to a number of mechanisms, including: https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-second-warmest-november-globally-confirms-expectation-2024-warmest-year or https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-second-warmest-november-globally-confirms-expectation-2024-warmest-year ; Global Temperatures
DJ, Of course "pre-industrial" treshold/10 year averages is playing with statistics...The extreme weather events may indicate real temperature rise may be 2,5C+... The warmer it gets-the faster further temperature increases go...
|