Post Reply - Climate

Still named "nineteen"-soon to become "Sara" https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/054319.shtml?cone#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/054319.shtml?cone#contents 

is expected to move over Yucatan...maybe even into Mexico...May bring a lot of rain in the region-however since the population -at present-  (tourism) is limited-the damage may stay limited...

However-like "Rafael" also "Sara" may be hard to predict...Staying some time over warm/hot water=stronger storm...Then moving high speed over colder water could still see "a lot of rain" moving into the US...

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/19L_intensity_latest.png or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/19L_intensity_latest.png DJ-Models now calculate "Sara" may lose a lot of strength over Mexico...So maybe a cat 2 as maximum...NOT the cat-4 "potential"...Again-by now storms can be very unpredictable...

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https://www.estofex.org/ or https://www.estofex.org/ More heavy rain expected in the south and east of Spain...Deathtoll of the october 30-31 flood now at 223 with still people missing...

DJ-The basic point is "two realities";

-Politics sticking to the lie "we are still under 1,5C warming"...using a 1900 baseline-10 year average...DJ-"If I had a billion € I would be a billionaire"....

-Non-sold science; warming may be 2,76 C+ by now looking at 1700-1750 baseline...

The extreme weather events, polar ice melt etc. fits in the non-sold science story..."Politics" hates science...history etc...

"Living with the virus" is another "political reality" public disaster...Saving the economy by destroying the world is crazy...however also the "new normal"...