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Topic - Climate Posted: 03 Nov 2024 at 9:07pm By Dutch Josh 2 |
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/025953.shtml?cone#contents or https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/025953.shtml?cone#contents has formed. Will be named "Rafael" https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18L_intensity_latest.png or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18L_intensity_latest.png has now two models for a cat 3/3+...https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18L_gefs_latest.png or https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/18L_gefs_latest.png indicating "in between Texas and Florida" next weekend-and by then a storm...
- .PATTY TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL IN A DAY OR SO... DJ, may reach-now-Portugal on tuesday in most models-then a "depression" still able to bring rain also to Spain... - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_2024_Spain_floods or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_2024_Spain_floods ; On 25 October 2024, AEMET meteorologist Juan Jesús González Alemán warned that the upcoming cold drop could become a high impact storm. This was initially ridiculed and the report accused of " alarmism " on the social media platform X by climate change denialists . - Valencia lies flat around a riverbed on an alluvial plain , which places it at high risk of flooding. When heavy rains coincide with a convective storm during which the sea level tends to rise, the flow is especially disturbed and flood risk is doubled. The areas where it rained the most have not been flooded, but those whose geography is more predisposed to accumulate water, like the peripheral municipalities, but not the city center, where the old riverbed was made into a park, the Turia Garden in 1986. [ 9 ] The second morphological feature are the mountains of the Tertiary period . [ 10 ] : 2 Blocked from the continent by the cliffs, the clouds rapidly precipitate. [ 10 ] : 4–5 The town Oliva south of Valencia for example has experienced 20 intense floods after 1972. [ 10 ] : 3 The third factor is the intense urbanization of the coastal area. Impervious surfaces (such as roads and buildings [ 10 ] : 5 ) prevent water from penetrating the ground. [ 10 ] : 12 Water pools on level land, [ 10 ] : 17 and is further retained by the metre-high beach ridge . [ 10 ] : 11 When runoff is prevented and water gathers, flash flooding results. [ 10 ] : 15 Rising sea levels will further increase the drainage time to days or even weeks. [ 10 ] :21 From 1997-2007 there was intense construction activity, which proved non-sustainable. [ citation needed ] The unusually high temperature of the seawater after the 2024 summer facilitated the generation of clouds of great vertical travel. DJ, So the interaction with land made it into this major disaster...maybe up to 1,000+ deaths ? Starting on 29 October 2024, a cold drop brought drastic flash flooding to southern and south-eastern Spain, primarily in the Valencia region. [ 11 ] At 06:42, the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) issued an orange weather warning for the south of Valencia. Less than 20 minutes later, the port of Valencia announced it would be shutting down. [ 12 ] At 07:36, the AEMET issued a red weather warning for the Valencian interior and upgraded its previous warning to the highest level. By this time, the Plana d'Utiel was already receiving heavy rain. [ 12 ] By 10:30, emergency services were rescuing people from their vehicles in Ribera . DJ, October 29 was a tuesday/workingday...in some news the earliest reports of flooding showed up at 5 A.M. So early morning...but NOT in the middle of the night... According to AEMET chief climatologist José Ángel Núñez, most deaths occurred in localities with no rain. Another factor may be living in basements-because it can be cooler in summer. But the worst place to be in flooding...Early morning rush hour did catch cars on the road and in tunnels... DJ-my view; climate change deniers do not want to hear warnings for extreme weather...May have been a factor in making communication/warnings harder. Earlier warnings/better communication may have saved some lives-but the extreme amount of rain simply does not fit in "the models" lots of (very good) metereologists use... https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/2431626/het-was-echt-42-9-graden-in-deelen-maar-het-is-te-bizar-voor-woorden or https://www.gld.nl/nieuws/2431626/het-was-echt-42-9-graden-in-deelen-maar-het-is-te-bizar-voor-woorden ; July 25-2019 had 42,9C record high temperatures in NL...too extreme to be real...so NOT accepted...The same sensors had record minimum temperatures/same spot of 26+ that was accepted... "Thinking the unthinkable may save lives"....IF calculations give extreme results for weather...it may be real and urgent ! Even if it turns out not to be that bad later on... We need better communications on WHY there may be weather warnings... DJ
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