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Dutch Josh 2 View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Apr 2025 at 9:48pm
DJ, US nazi führer trumpf does not want to fight the biden war in UKraine...this lunatic wants his own war with Iran...
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/world-news/iran-closes-swaths-of-air-space-in-anticipation-of-us-attacks or https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/world-news/iran-closes-swaths-of-air-space-in-anticipation-of-us-attacks ;
The Islamic Republic of Iran has issued Notice(s) to Air Men (NOTAM) closing vast swaths of its national air space in anticipation of being attacked by the United States and Israel.
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🇸🇾 New developments in southern Syria: ▪️ Israeli helicopters are now evacuating IDF casualties from east of Nawa. ▪️ Syrian sources confirm the downing of an Israeli reconnaissance drone earlier today over southern Syria. The clashes in southern Syria began when an IDF convoy entered the town of Nawa in Daraa Governorate and was ambushed by armed local residents. One of the Israeli armored vehicles was hit by an RPG, forcing the convoy to halt. When Israeli reinforcements arrived, the residents opened fire on both convoys. The resistance holds—despite being left with little but grit and rifles
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🇱🇧 Israeli jets have just entered Lebanese airspace. Sirens sound at UNIFIL's Naqoura base, southwest Lebanon.
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🇸🇾 Israel launched a massive air assault on Syria, striking 20 targets across Hama, T4 Airport, and Homs. Hama Military Airport was hit at least 15 times and is reportedly almost completely destroyed. The strikes targeted ammunition depots and military aircraft.

DJ, US-rael in fact is in a conflict with Turkish forces getting an increased grip in Syria. 

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🇲🇱🇧🇫🇳🇪🇷🇺 The foreign ministers of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger will visit Moscow tomorrow.

DJ, African leaders want to see African gold moved out of US, UK, France vaults...Poverty is a western neo-colonial creation...BRICS+ may offer perspective. 
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US/"west" seems to be preparing an all out attack on BRICS+...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Apr 2025 at 10:08pm
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/04/02/745458/Pezeshkian-Iran-stronger-ties-neighboring-countries  or https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/04/02/745458/Pezeshkian-Iran-stronger-ties-neighboring-countries ;
In a phone call on Wednesday, Pezeshkian extended his congratulations to United Arab Emirates President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan on the occasion of Eid al-Fitr, marking the end of Ramadan.
In a separate phone call on Wednesday, Pezeshkian reiterated Iran’s readiness to enhance relations with regional countries as he spoke with Kuwait's Emir Sheikh Meshal al-Ahmad Al-Jaber al-Sabah.

On March 12, Trump sent a letter to Iran’s leadership, asking for negotiations to reach a new deal and threatening military action if Tehran refused.

Iran has ruled out direct negotiations with the US under pressure and threats but says indirect talks remain an option.


DJ, China did create a new balance between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Both UAE and Saudi Arabia are "invited into BRICS+" and have a lot of interests in doing all kinds of deals with EurAsian countries. 

The US "led" "west" loves to believe Iran is "an isolated dictatorship"....(also Russia=Putin=bad=isolated-phantasy). 

From a human rights perspective Iran is not very "good/democratic"...however lots of "kingdoms" in the region doing far worse...As long as they may be used by the "west" it is not a problem...

trumpf may visit Saudi Arabia in may. Expecting the Saudi's to buy more US products (weapons)...for 1 trillion US$ and to lower the price of oil/energy-sticking to the US$ as payment...

There are speculations both Saudi Arabia may go for better relations with Iran while also restarting the war with Yemen-Houthis...

The US would bomb Yemen so Saudi/UAE groundforces can move in...

DJ, Very likely both Saudi Arabia and UAE want to improve their relations with Asia...if need be by decreasing the relations with the US. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Apr 2025 at 10:26pm
https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/discussions-on-us-military-intervention-against-iran-nuclear-facilities-when-talks-fail.23384/page-9 or https://community.defconwarningsystem.com/threads/discussions-on-us-military-intervention-against-iran-nuclear-facilities-when-talks-fail.23384/page-9 ;
The B-2 bomber can carry two GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs), which are 30,000 pound bunker busting bombs designed to destroy heavily fortified underground facilities.

Given that limitation, deploying six B-2 bombers would allow for the delivery of 12 such bombs in a single strike, which makes sense if the goal is a swift and decisive attack on Iran’s nuclear bunkers.

Deploying six B-2s makes sense if the goal is a quick and decisive strike on Iran’s nuclear bunkers two bombers alone wouldn’t be sufficient.

I’m sure Iran has more than four major underground nuclear targets, so the key targets we aim to strike likely exceed that number. So minimum 12 Iranian facilities will be hit in opening moves given 6 bombers with a payload of 2 each.

DJ, The 6 B2 bombers are just one element of the strike plan on Iran. A lot of missiles, other aircraft-maybe even long distance ship artillery may be factors. 

When the Vinson reaches the area my projection. Electronic jamming planes as well as SAM site exploitation before the bombers enter.
It has a squadron of F-35 two F-18 and a squadron of F-18 growlers.
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By the time Iran knows what's coming its to late. By the time Iran responds with missiles it will be to late. The B2s will be long gone from the island in the air by the time Iran can muster any response or knows whats up.

Only a preemptive strike would Iran's only chance to attack the B2s. But doubt they could hit it. Over 2,000 miles away, could barely hit any targets in Israel. Not much precision in their missiles and the inaccuracy only grows with distance. I feel our B2s are just fine there. So long as they don't return after hitting Iran obviously.

DJ, A "Pearl Harbour effect" could make Iran, Russia, others convince a first major strike would seriously limit US war capacity...We are in a "stand off"...

IF the US attacks Iran it could start World War Three, bring in Russia, China...see tens of thousends US/NATO military, USrael killed, destroyed....

A bit of a "western style scene" however on a global scale...(and ingnored by main stream media...this is the WORST !!! crisis ever...). 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 Apr 2025 at 10:34pm
https://ejmagnier.com/2025/04/01/how-trumps-middle-east-policy-risks-a-world-crisis-secret-talks-and-escalation-with-iran/ or https://ejmagnier.com/2025/04/01/how-trumps-middle-east-policy-risks-a-world-crisis-secret-talks-and-escalation-with-iran/ ;

By Elijah J. Magnier – 

As the Middle East plunges further into turmoil, one reality is becoming increasingly unavoidable: the so-called “peace president” is laying the foundations for global disorder if he implements his menace. Under Donald Trump, U.S. foreign policy has morphed into an explosive mix of economic coercion, military escalation, and selective diplomacy—presented under the banner of maintaining global stability.

Trump has delivered contradictory signals. On one hand, he sends messages of mutual respect and cooperation to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. On the other hand, he intensifies bombing campaigns in Yemen, backs Israel’s military operations across multiple fronts, tightens oil sanctions on Russia and Venezuela, and ramps up pressure for a confrontation with Iran. This fragmented strategy threatens to collapse maritime trade routes, destabilize global energy markets, and unleash far-reaching geopolitical consequences.

His “peace through strength” doctrine has not de-escalated conflict but escalated it. U.S. daily airstrikes in Yemen have worsened an already dire humanitarian crisis and further disrupted Red Sea shipping lanes. Meanwhile, growing tensions with Iran risk closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which nearly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply flows.

With new sanctions targeting Iranian oil layered atop an already stressed global economy, the danger of economic blowback is accelerating. Without a safety net, Trump is tampering with the essential arteries of international commerce—energy, food, and logistics.

Yet amid the rising drumbeat of war and regional mobilization, reports have surfaced that Iran and the United States are quietly engaged in secret backchannel talks. Despite public saber-rattling and Iranian missile readiness across its vast geography—poised to absorb and respond to any U.S. strike—both sides appear intent on keeping open a narrow path for de-escalation.

DJ, trumpf his insane tariffs isolate the US from its allies...Insults are not diplomacy...
Maybe some military can "correct" US crazy politicians...Iran, Russia (etc) are NOT near collapse...An attack on Iran IS !!! an attack on BRICS+ and may result in the US itself coming under attack...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 18 hours 59 minutes ago at 8:31am
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The probability of a recession in the US is approaching 50% -Deutsche Bank
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Trump is imposing a 54% tariff on China and 46% on Vietnam. This is absolutely insane, and is only going to raise prices significantly in the US. The US imported more than $430 billion of goods from China in 2024, and over $130 billion from Vietnam. This includes many electronics. Many companies that were previously manufacturing in China moved to Vietnam (and Mexico) due to US pressure. Now Trump is tariffing all of them. These blanket tariffs are not going to lead the US to re-industrialize. They will simply raise the price level. If the US truly wants to re-industrialize (which it should), it needs a real industrial policy: a clear plan for state-led development, involving heavy government investment in infrastructure, education, training, and industrial upgrading. Trump is not doing any of that -- on the contrary, he is combining Reaganomics with blanket tariffs. Targeted tariffs in very specific industries could indeed be helpful to boost competitiveness in manufacturing, in areas like, say, electric vehicles or semiconductors. But blanket tariffs on foreign goods are not going to do that. What is really happening is Trump is just using tariffs as a tax on consumers, to shift the tax burden even more off of wealthy elites and onto the poor. He is slashing taxes on the rich and corporations and imposing a heavy consumption tax on the poor and working class. Trump himself said the goal with these tariffs is to raise more government revenue. He will do so on the back of average working Americans -- which will probably cause a recession, which now looks increasingly likely.
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Trump is imposing tariffs of 54% on China, 46% on Vietnam, and 20% on the EU. So Vietnam invited China and European leaders to meet to discuss trade in a post-US world. The world is changing fast. The US empire's desperate aggression is only accelerating the change. Link: https://reuters.com/world/vietnam-host-china-eu-leaders-coming-weeks-amid-us-tariff-risks-sources-say-2025-04-02/
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CENTCOM chief Gen. Kurilla, who arrived in Israel earlier this week, held talks with IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, reports ToI. The meeting focused on “strategic security issues across the region,” the IDF says.
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DJ, How "the west" even think they can start more wars when they are this self destructive...A phantasy is "Iran air defense was destroyed by USrael"...go and find out ! 

Russia/China did improve Iran air defense...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 3 hours 5 minutes ago at 12:25am
DJ, On US tariffs;

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Trump supporters claim his tariffs aim to reindustrialize the US (which won't work without a real industrial policy), or to pressure countries to agree to a "Mar-a-Lago Accord". I'm skeptical. I increasingly think Trump's goal is to use tariffs to replace income taxes. Trump in fact floated this idea in the past, and it seems like he is now attempting it with his huge tariffs on countries around the world. While Trump slashes taxes on the rich and corporations, he hopes to make up for lost government revenue by imposing high tariffs. This will disproportionately hurt the bottom 90% of the population, while benefiting the richest 10%. This idea is crazy and mathematically illiterate, and tariffs couldn't generate nearly enough revenue to make up for reduced income taxes -- but that has never stopped Trump before. Tariffs are a tax on imported goods, meaning they are essentially a tax on consumption (given that the US imports so many consumer goods). Tariffs are also an extremely regressive tax. They put the burden of taxation on the poor and working class, who spend much more of their paychecks on cheap imported consumer goods, and therefore have a much higher marginal propensity to consume. Consumption by wealthy elites is not significantly impacted by tariffs, and they have a low marginal propensity to consume. So tariffs are Trump's way of imposing an enormous regressive tax, moving the burden of taxation off of capital and onto labor.

DJ, A lot of economic "data" is "flexible"....GDP may "grow" when people have to pay a higher price for goods and services...So US imports are getting more expensive-in theory-may "boost" the US GDP...Meaning US debts may expand further...translating other countries will pay for US wars..(like they so far often did). 

One major reason why trump still did not attack Iran may be in trump did not get any real deal with Russia over UKraine (or zelensky to hand over UKraine to a US billionaire elite). 

So trump is still stuck in a "biden-made" UKraine war...The US may stay away from Ramstein-Germany "support UKraine" meetings..most other "western" countries still go for that war...NOT the war trump would like to start against Iran...

Another reason may be the US -in fact- simply can NOT pay for such a war with Iran...There are limits to debts...US need to increase replacement of weapons etc. Replacing air defense from East Asia to West Asia may indicate shortages of air defense...

A third reason may be that even with a lot of bombing Yemen still does not collapse...Gaza-Palestinians are still fighting US created USrael...USrael-with lots of help from NATO- fighting in Lebanon, Syria...

A major attack on Iran would further overstretch/exhaust US/NATO forces...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 2 hours 53 minutes ago at 12:37am
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Trump on Air Force One tells us he spoke to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu today and Netanyahu may visit the US next week.

DJ, netanyahu is NOT respected/welcomed by most NATO members any longer...A lot of NATO members may still "support USrael "selfdefense-genocide"...but ignoring the ICJ war crimes story on netanyahu makes claiming any ICJ ruling on Putin impossible...

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Officials in Tehran don’t believe the Houthis can withstand the U.S. campaign in Yemen. “They are living their final months or even days,” said a senior Iranian official. - Ynet

DJ, Ynet is USraeli "wishfull thinking/propaganda".

Apex
@Apex_WW
·
Iran has ordered military personnel to leave Yemen, The Telegraph reports. Move was made due to Tehran wanting to avoid direct confrontation with the US if an Iranian soldier was killed, a senior Iranian official said.

DJ...very likely only a limited-if any-Iranian "advisors"(ever) in Yemen...The US likes the story Hamas. Hezbollah, Yemen are all creations of Iran...they are NOT !

Hezbollah may be "close" in some views to Iran-did join forces in Syria. Hamas is Sunni-Muslim-created/supported to break the PLO...by "the west/Arab kingdoms...

Yemen has been in conflict with the UK for decades...UK -in part- replaced by Saudi Arabia-now US...but the Yemen conflict is not that linked with the Iran story-in many ways. 

One of the problems US/USrael has in its terror on Yemen is lack of info...also Yemen is quite large-with the US (UK,USrael) doing most of the attacks from carriers in the Red Sea/Indian Ocean. Most countries in the region -now- want to stay out of that war...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dutch Josh 2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 2 hours 41 minutes ago at 12:49am
DJ-my (non expert) view on trump-tariffs;

-It will further increase de-dollar-ization...decrease trade with the US (also import from the US-because US products get even more expensive). 

-It is strengthening BRICS+/SCO Eur-Asia-Africa trade. About 85-90% of the global population lives in that "region" (including Australia/New Zealand). A lot of trade can go (high speed) over land. A major problem could be in trade agreements-NOT in currencies ! For a lot of countries using their own currency is a bonus...strengthening that currency...

-India-China trade still is "limited"-but may grow "explosively"...In part because ASEAN joined BRICS+ and may go as "go-between". Malaysia, Indonesia are also main oil/energy exporters with a growing production sector...
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DJ-So the US capacity to finance more war decreased because of the trump-tariffs...

The US increased conflicts with lots of countries (even Vietnam, Ethiopia etc...). The US is getting (even) more isolated...

Another trump-insanity is "drill-drill-drill"-with renewable energy worldwide by now far cheaper then fossil energy...A re-industrialized US may produce products other countries will not buy...(US cars did not meet China enviromental rules...). 

Electric airplanes are just around the corner. More clean and silent-fitting in a more urban eviroment a lot of major international airports by now are part of...

Both the EU and NATO have "strong powers" for self preservation. However both organizations may shift to other goals. 

-The EU may look for Eur-Asian-African markets, increase trade with Canada/Latin America. This will increase the global role of the Euro/€ as an alternative for the US$ in international trade...

In many ways-I think-a "weak/divided EU"- is far more flexible then a "strong US". It may be "hard" to weaponize the Euro...

-NATO could play a welcome !!! role in disaster relief...Getting heavy machinery to global disaster zones with young, fit, people willing to give their lives to save others...not kill others ! 

So-on the longer run-a smaller role for a "blind capitalsim US" may give room for more government-companis-balanced globalism...Profits can be a stimulus...A rich elite buying the government is VERY UNWELCOME !
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In UKraine "the west" finds itself in a worsening position...USrael can keep terrorizing West Asia...but at the end both wars are self destructive for "the west+ proxies"...

Putin-Russia wants realistic agreements on mutual security more then anything else...Very likely it could give up (heavy damaged) UKraine if there is a realistic global security agreement. 

NATO in another role-less defense, more providing help, could be a step in that direction-and towards a "better world"...
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If US-rael goes for more wars to stop BRICS+ the "strategic basis" -in part of trump his economic war-is getting very small...

Not selling oil, uranium etc. to the US (US needs some sorts of oil etc. to be imported) could further "limit" any more war plans...

The multi-polar world is replacing US-uni-polar dominance...

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